Claims
299 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"In the Dutch system after 2028, the same start, the same 7%, but every year the tax office cuts 36% of the profit. This cuts real growth from 7% to about 4.5%. Sounds innocent, right? After a decade you lose over 17% of your final capital. After 20 years almost 30%. After 40 almost 57. Instead of 1.5 million you have about 646,000. Euro. The state erases over 850,000 EUR of potential wealth from your account. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2028
"Between June 11 and June 16, things might get very heated in the Middle East. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Armed conflicts
2026
"Let's consider a family commuting daily. 60 km a day. They consume about 1200 liters of fuel annually. We add ETS2 and it comes out to 400 zlotys more just for the tax itself. Plus an increase in prices of all goods, because professional transport will also obviously have to pay, because trucks will pay, because the entire supply chain pays, and then all of that lands in the price of bread, milk, shoes. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2028
"In an extreme scenario, ETS2 can push inflation up by as much as two percentage points. This is not an abstraction, it is a real loss of purchasing power for everyone. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"if in January 2028 you wake up in the morning, refuel your car and turn on your gas heater, you will pay more. without declaration, without office, without choice, simply built into the price. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"a typical Polish family can lose up to PLN 40,000 in 7 years. without a separate item in PIT, without a referendum, without a choice. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2033
Ad
"Today the reality looks different. Bloomberg NF, one of the most serious analytical institutions in the world, forecasts the average price of allowances at €100 per ton in 2027. Twice the official safety mechanism in 2030 €122. "
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PL · original
💰 Price target
Economy
2027
"Bloomberg calculated that in the years 2027-2035, the EU ETS2 system will generate revenues of approximately 644 billion euros. The entire Social Climate Fund (SFK) is 65 billion euros, meaning SFK is slightly over 10% of what ETS2 will take from citizens' wallets. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"This year, Poland will have the highest budget deficit among all European Union member states. The need for fiscal correction is clearly visible. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"The European Commission must see this in its models, which is why it forecasts a deficit of over 6% for next year instead of lowering it. Because in Brussels they understand what the Polish government communicatively does not want to say. Revenues will not catch up with our expenses at all. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2027
"6.5% will be the public finance sector deficit in Poland in 2026 according to the latest European Commission forecast. The EU limit, the one written in the Maastricht Treaty, is 3%. We exceed it by more than double. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"The Korean army needs over 200,000 recruits annually to maintain the defense line at the 38th parallel. Meanwhile, forecasts say that by 2040, the number of 20-year-olds will drop to approximately 130,000. There is a shortage of over 70,000 soldiers annually. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Society
2040
"German economic growth in 2026 is half a percent, and Poland, according to forecasts, even 3.8%. This means that we are growing 6 to seven times faster than Europe's largest economy. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"Top 5 2183% over 13 years, I repeat, as of the end of April this year 2026. For posterity, I will emphasize here that annually it is 27%. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"The increase in DRAM memory prices has already raised smartphone production costs, and this was even before the Strait of Hormuz. Counterpoint predicts an additional 10 to 15% in costs in the second quarter of 2026, which is now as you are watching this. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
Ad
"Prices of final plastic products will increase in April and May by 50 to 60%. This is a real company that produces housings, fasteners and parts for hundreds of Western brands. And now its customers, i.e. Western home appliance and electronics brands, are receiving invoices increased by half. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"Barry literally bought himself insurance against a major crash in the AI sector. Each of these options only starts to really make money when the underlying instrument falls below the strike. That is, when QQQ falls significantly below 550, when NVIDIA returns to around $115, when SOXX retreats to 330. In other words, Burry bets that although software in Etherani are cheap, the companies leading the AI rally, Nvidia, the entire semiconductor sector, the NASDAQ index as a whole, may fall sharply within a maximum of one year. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2027
"On February 10, 2026, the European Parliament supported the project with a launch planned for 2029. This will be a public digital equivalent of cash issued by the ECB. The pilot is scheduled to start in the second half of 2027. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"Regarding the biggest players such as, for example, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, these companies are expected to invest around $650 billion in artificial intelligence in 2026. Therefore, this is not a testing phase, but a phase of real implementation and scaling. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"However, if we conclude that the stock exchange might not get a MIKA license anyway, then what about July 1st? We have to settle with clients, because we are ceasing operations, we have no legal basis to continue. And now, we previously had loans in 2024 that were not fully repaid. In 2025, we don't know how it was, because we don't have an audit, we don't have reports for 2025, and we probably won't have them, so we don't know how it was. But one could suspect that it was only worse. Therefore, we conclude that, okay, we were short 100 million euros here, so what if the manager is short 100 million or 500 million, if I just pack it all up and go somewhere unknown, or they won't find me anyway. So, it's possible that we are unfortunately going down the worst path, that the company knew it wouldn't get the license and was heading for a regulatory wall, where it would have to settle with clients anyway, and since it had borrowed earlier and wouldn't be able to repay it, the obligations to clients would not be fully settled anyway. So, whether I owe someone 100 million, or... "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy