Coin Bureau 06.05.2026

✗ Negated

"If the Senate Banking Committee does not formally mark up the Clarity Act before the Memorial Day recess on May 21st, the entire framework collapses. Midterms swallow the calendar, and comprehensive crypto market structure legislation is reportedly pushed out as far back as 2030. "

🌐 Scenario Politics

Coin Bureau 04.05.2026

✗ Negated

"The practical markup window closes in mid-May. The recess begins on the 25th and after that, the midterm cycle starts swallowing every available legislative day. If the Clarity Act dies in this window, then comprehensive market structure legislation pushes deep into 2027 or beyond and the industry returns to regulation by enforcement. "

🌐 Scenario Politics

Coin Bureau 21.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"The entire machine functions as long as Bitcoin keeps appreciating and the capital markets keep absorbing new share issuances. But if either condition fails, the consequences would extend far beyond a single company's balance sheet and threaten to destabilize the broader crypto market itself. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 09.04.2026

~ Partially

"If the OECD's projections prove accurate, well, the Federal Reserve is sitting dangerously behind the curve and will be forced into emergency policy reversals and the broader market is already pricing in this exact scenario. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 03.04.2026

~ Partially

"If these retirement plans allocate just 1% of their capital to Bitcoin, well, that represents roughly $139 billion in brand new automated buying pressure. To put that number into perspective, $139 billion is more than three times the cumulative net inflows of every single spot Bitcoin ETF launched in 2024 combined. So a capital injection of that magnitude would fundamentally rewrite the assets market cap. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 18.03.2026

~ Partially

"Every single order filled would force the price lower, meaning subsequent coins would sell at progressively worse prices. This is textbook slippage and it would trigger a cascading liquidation event across the derivatives market that would crash the price of Bitcoin by double digits in minutes. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 08.01.2026

~ Partially

"Jeśli ten przepis zostanie przyjęty w obecnym brzmieniu w Senacie, skutecznie zniszczy ideę finansów bez zezwoleń w Stanach Zjednoczonych. Będziesz mieć dwie możliwości: korzystać z w pełni regulowanego interfejsu DeFi, w pełni zgodnego z KYC i należącego do korporacji, lub bezpośrednio korzystać z kodu inteligentnego kontraktu za pośrednictwem interfejsu wiersza poleceń, czego, bądźmy szczerzy, 99% użytkowników nigdy nie zrobi. "

🌐 Scenario Technology

Coin Bureau 20.05.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"Below $74,000, the technical map opens up towards $72,000, then $70,000 "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 20.05.2026

~ Partially

"A clean daily close below that, and the next demand zone sits between 74 and $75,000. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 26.03.2026

◔ Pending

"If a CBDCfriendly administration wins in November 2028, they will be fully installed and empowered by the time the ban expires in December 2030. "

🌐 Scenario Politics

Coin Bureau 09.03.2026

✗ Negated

"The things that are dying is, unfortunately, our jobs. Uh and uh we're going to be taking a look at the jobs apocalypse. Is the jobs apocalypse coming because of AI? Many reports we want to dive into and take a look at it what it could mean for the rest of us and our future. Of course, or lack of a future, exactly. "

🌐 Scenario Technology

Coin Bureau 25.01.2026

~ Partially

"Well, millions of Americans will switch to using crypto cards. The result would be true crypto adoption on a massive scale and enormous rallies for the stocks and cryptos affiliated with these cards. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 25.01.2026

~ Partially

"This would result in the mass adoption of crypto in the highest value jurisdiction, which could be rocket fuel for the tokens affiliated with the most popular crypto cards. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 18.03.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"If the original pioneers are abandoning ship, the entire digital gold thesis could be facing a catastrophic liquidity crisis. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 06.01.2026

✗ Negated

"Uważa się, że Bitcoin jest w tyle za złotem o około 3 miesiące. Jeśli tak jest rzeczywiście, to ogromny rajd złota pod koniec 2025 roku powinien przełożyć się na ogromny rajd Bitcoina na początku 2026 roku. "

🌐 Scenario Economy