Comparic Rynki 29.04.2026

◔ Pending

"If the Emirates indeed start pumping at full capacity to their target of 5 million barrels per day, it means more oil on the market, which theoretically leads to lower prices. However, everything depends on when Ormus opens, because today even the Emirates have problems with exports. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 27.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"If the truce breaks, oil will go up again, and we have only just started to breathe a little after the inflationary nightmare. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 25.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"As long as this war continues, as long as oil prices are high, the prospect of 100% rate cuts in the States will move further away. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 22.04.2026

· Unverified

"Wydaje mi się, yyy, i to jest taki mój troszeczkę scenariusz bazowy, który będzie oddziaływał na wiele walut, ale w późniejszym okresie, że banki yyy będą próbowały przetrzymać tę sytuację, że jednak wyjdą z założenia, że skok cen ropy gazu przełoży się na inflację, ale to nie będzie przełożenie trwałe, że nie będzie efektów drugiej rundy i zdecydują się przeczekać ten okres "

🌐 original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Albert Rokicki 22.04.2026

◔ Pending

"And then from November, in my baseline scenario, a return to strong growth. It will already be known who won. Most likely the Democrats, only the question is whether they will only take over the House of Representatives, which is almost certain and is fully priced in, because there is an 85% chance of that on Polymarket, or whether they will also take over the Senate. There is 52% right now on Polymarket, on such a forbidden betting platform in Poland, where you can place bets with real money. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Politics

Albert Rokicki 01.04.2026

~ Partially

"there will be such a hype for these space companies and unfortunately, unfortunately I would prefer it to succeed, yes, but I'm afraid there will be huge disappointment after the debut, there will be distribution, there will be drops in SpaceX that will drag the entire industry down. So until June we can nicely play, for example, Kreotech Scanway, these Polish entities, but I think from July, somewhere from the holidays, there will be a dump in the space sector. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Technology

Coin Bureau 26.03.2026

◔ Pending

"If a CBDCfriendly administration wins in November 2028, they will be fully installed and empowered by the time the ban expires in December 2030. "

🌐 Scenario Politics

Albert Rokicki 24.03.2026

✗ Negated

"And SWIG 80 is not good. Unfortunately, it broke 45, and here one can eventually count on the previous lows to defend, meaning the lows from November and December 2025, which are levels around 28,650. If that falls, then there is a high risk of SWIG 80 collapsing, meaning the smallest companies. For now, there is no panic, because these lows should defend themselves. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Albert Rokicki 24.03.2026

✗ Negated

"In my base scenario, it will just touch, just touch the downward trend line average, and I expect a destructive, panic-driven fifth wave down, meaning one, two, three, four, and now a final fifth wave even to 45, to 40,000 dollars. That is my base scenario. However, I also cannot rule out that this is the end of this Mini Bear Market and Bitcoin will return to an upward trend or will want to make a double top at 120,000. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Albert Rokicki 11.03.2026

✗ Negated

"If 23,000 points fall, then the index will most likely go to 20,400 and possibly 18,800 as a panic low after the introduction of Trump's tariffs. So it doesn't look good for the German index, but for now, it must be admitted, one cannot panic. Here, this barrier needs to be lowered. Now, the natural and, I would even say, very strong resistance, I would be surprised if it fell, is 23,000 points, because it is also the peak before the tariff dump. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 09.03.2026

✗ Negated

"The things that are dying is, unfortunately, our jobs. Uh and uh we're going to be taking a look at the jobs apocalypse. Is the jobs apocalypse coming because of AI? Many reports we want to dive into and take a look at it what it could mean for the rest of us and our future. Of course, or lack of a future, exactly. "

🌐 Scenario Technology

Albert Rokicki 29.01.2026

~ Partially

"Yes, and there might be a mini black swan in the United States, which paradoxically might help Europe and the Polish market, because capital will rotate even more, it will flee from America to Europe, to emerging markets, and to Poland. And we will benefit from this. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 25.01.2026

~ Partially

"This would result in the mass adoption of crypto in the highest value jurisdiction, which could be rocket fuel for the tokens affiliated with the most popular crypto cards. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 25.01.2026

~ Partially

"Well, millions of Americans will switch to using crypto cards. The result would be true crypto adoption on a massive scale and enormous rallies for the stocks and cryptos affiliated with these cards. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Robert Bernatowicz 29.09.2024

? Unverifiable

"If it turns out that there was a chess tournament AND at that moment another city was disappearing, a chess tournament AND another woman was disappearing, then at that moment there may be such a situation that it will simply be a very important premise to put forward such a shocking [theory] and not some Zdzisław "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Other

Albert Rokicki 03.06.2026

~ Partially

"Second scenario: the effect is already discounted, a small upward movement. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 01.06.2026

◔ Pending

"Venezuela is the same. Many other places on the map of Africa, on the map of South America. If these changes are carried out to the end, it could be great news. And for us, a brilliant place to live. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Society

Comparic Rynki 01.06.2026

◔ Pending

"However, in my opinion, this direction starts to make sense at the moment when we have this conflict somehow closed or suspended. Rather permanently. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 24.04.2026

~ Partially

"If capital expenditures go up again, no one will believe Zuckerberg is controlling costs. If capex stabilizes, there could be a real rally. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 16.04.2026

~ Partially

"If Ford or GM, or perhaps both of these factories, actually get a large defense contract, their shares may soar. But this is a speculative, not an investment, scenario. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy