Claims
181 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"In the Dutch system after 2028, the same start, the same 7%, but every year the tax office cuts 36% of the profit. This cuts real growth from 7% to about 4.5%. Sounds innocent, right? After a decade you lose over 17% of your final capital. After 20 years almost 30%. After 40 almost 57. Instead of 1.5 million you have about 646,000. Euro. The state erases over 850,000 EUR of potential wealth from your account. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2028
"Between June 11 and June 16, things might get very heated in the Middle East. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Armed conflicts
2026
"In an extreme scenario, ETS2 can push inflation up by as much as two percentage points. This is not an abstraction, it is a real loss of purchasing power for everyone. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"if in January 2028 you wake up in the morning, refuel your car and turn on your gas heater, you will pay more. without declaration, without office, without choice, simply built into the price. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Let's consider a family commuting daily. 60 km a day. They consume about 1200 liters of fuel annually. We add ETS2 and it comes out to 400 zlotys more just for the tax itself. Plus an increase in prices of all goods, because professional transport will also obviously have to pay, because trucks will pay, because the entire supply chain pays, and then all of that lands in the price of bread, milk, shoes. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2028
"Bloomberg calculated that in the years 2027-2035, the EU ETS2 system will generate revenues of approximately 644 billion euros. The entire Social Climate Fund (SFK) is 65 billion euros, meaning SFK is slightly over 10% of what ETS2 will take from citizens' wallets. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
Ad
"a typical Polish family can lose up to PLN 40,000 in 7 years. without a separate item in PIT, without a referendum, without a choice. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2033
"The European Commission must see this in its models, which is why it forecasts a deficit of over 6% for next year instead of lowering it. Because in Brussels they understand what the Polish government communicatively does not want to say. Revenues will not catch up with our expenses at all. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2027
"The Korean army needs over 200,000 recruits annually to maintain the defense line at the 38th parallel. Meanwhile, forecasts say that by 2040, the number of 20-year-olds will drop to approximately 130,000. There is a shortage of over 70,000 soldiers annually. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Society
2040
"German economic growth in 2026 is half a percent, and Poland, according to forecasts, even 3.8%. This means that we are growing 6 to seven times faster than Europe's largest economy. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"Top 5 2183% over 13 years, I repeat, as of the end of April this year 2026. For posterity, I will emphasize here that annually it is 27%. "
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PL · original
✅ Factual claim
Economy
"The entire machine functions as long as Bitcoin keeps appreciating and the capital markets keep absorbing new share issuances. But if either condition fails, the consequences would extend far beyond a single company's balance sheet and threaten to destabilize the broader crypto market itself. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"The foundational layer of the global food system is physically shutting down because it can no longer afford the fuel required to operate. Today, we reveal why a catastrophic diesel shock is about to empty the seafood aisles in your local grocery store. "
⚠️ Warning
Economy
2026
"The market prices in optimism, but every subsequent day of closed Ormus is a step closer to a crisis we haven't seen since the 1970s. "
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PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Economy
Medium timeframe
"The federal deficit in 2026 is projected to be another 1.9 trillion and grow to 3.1 trillion in 2036. In this context, the pressure on the Fed to cut rates and make long-term debt is neither a coincidence nor a whim. It's mathematics. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
Ad
"The stock market sooner or later discounts, as they say, or anticipates an improvement in economic conditions or better profits that will appear not even next year, but for example in 2028, since we are recording this at the beginning of 2026, I am talking here about a very long-term game where you can buy cheap companies that no one notices or most assume that they will still have time to buy, that before the improvement occurs, there will still be many months of such lethargy, and often one can be mistaken, because the price often rebounds a year or even a year and a half before the improvement in results, because the best informed, they are already observing it, they are closest to the management board or even people around the management board, right, or insiders can officially buy. One should also observe how the company presidents behave, whether they are buying more, whether key managers are buying shares, because this can be a valuable signal for us that an improvement is on the horizon. "
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PL · original
💬 Opinion
Economy
"According to BCA Research, the world is now losing 4.5 to 5 million barrels per day. This is about 5% of global supply. But beware, BCA analyst Mark Papik warns that by mid-April this number will double. Why? Because strategic reserves will run out, sanction-exempt Russian and Iranian oil will run out, and Gulf producers had to shut down wells because they have nowhere to store what they cannot ship. "
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PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Economy
2026
"And imagine that soon, more or less almost at the same time as this company is spun off from Creotech Creotech Quantum, a quantum competitor in Finland will debut and will also have a dual listing in New York, in the United States, and note, at a valuation of 1.8 billion dollars. Although they have 35 million dollars in revenue. But Creotech Quantum has about 3 million in revenue, and plans to have 100 million zlotys in annual revenue, right? So 100 million zlotys annually, that would already be about 27 million dollars annually, not much less than this Finnish competitor. I wrote about this on Twitter, which is valued at 1.8 billion dollars, so even from such a proportion, this quantum company should be valued at 500, 600 million. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
2026
"Analysts warn that if Ormus is not opened by mid-April, losses will double from 5 to 10 million barrels per day. This would be equivalent to a complete market shutdown during the COVID-19 pandemic. Only without lockdowns. A purely supply shock. "
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PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Economy
2026
"The US buffer is running out, and if Ormus is not opened within a few weeks, oil prices will enter a phase where no reserves will stop them. "
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PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Economy
Short timeframe