Comparic Rynki 02.04.2026

~ Partially

"Goldman Sachs raised forecasts. Prices averaged $110 in March and April with a risk of significantly higher. If Hormuz remains closed for 10 weeks, prices could beat the 2008 record of $147 per barrel. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Comparic Rynki 31.03.2026

✓ Occurred

"Analysts warn that if Ormus is not opened by mid-April, losses will double from 5 to 10 million barrels per day. This would be equivalent to a complete market shutdown during the COVID-19 pandemic. Only without lockdowns. A purely supply shock. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 31.03.2026

~ Partially

"Bloomberg models a scenario in which oil reaches $170 per barrel, and then we have full stagflation in the Eurozone, which is the worst thing that can actually happen in the economy. Inflation up by 2 percentage points, GDP down by 1.2. And the Revolutionary Guard openly threatens that the price will reach $200. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Albert Rokicki 31.03.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"And imagine that soon, more or less almost at the same time as this company is spun off from Creotech Creotech Quantum, a quantum competitor in Finland will debut and will also have a dual listing in New York, in the United States, and note, at a valuation of 1.8 billion dollars. Although they have 35 million dollars in revenue. But Creotech Quantum has about 3 million in revenue, and plans to have 100 million zlotys in annual revenue, right? So 100 million zlotys annually, that would already be about 27 million dollars annually, not much less than this Finnish competitor. I wrote about this on Twitter, which is valued at 1.8 billion dollars, so even from such a proportion, this quantum company should be valued at 500, 600 million. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Technology 2026

Albert Rokicki 31.03.2026

✗ Failed

"I think JSW will attack 35 again and break it, because in the context of war, in the context of even if there were some talks, well, listen, there are many destroyed installations there. The gas flow will still be limited. It is not known whether Iran will easily open the strait. There will be tension. The Houthis have also joined in. They can control the Red Sea, so the Suez Canal is out, meaning higher gas costs. And that's why thermal coal is primarily returning to favor. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy Medium timeframe

Albert Rokicki 31.03.2026

~ Partially

"in 20 years, I estimate, around 2045, 2050, perhaps we will start to feel debt problems, and then these new leaders will show such wonders that we will now feel inferior, right? Because some artificial intelligence, some flights to the Moon, to Mars they will be doing, and we will be learning from them. So everyone has their 5 minutes. Poland has its 5 minutes now. For the next two decades, we will dominate, we will outpace, we will chase Germany and France, and we have already overtaken Spain, as we know. It was recently in the media that in terms of GDP per capita, we have already swallowed the Spaniards. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2045

Comparic Rynki 30.03.2026

✓ Occurred

"The US buffer is running out, and if Ormus is not opened within a few weeks, oil prices will enter a phase where no reserves will stop them. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Economy Short timeframe

Comparic Rynki 27.03.2026

✗ Failed

"He will take over Cuba and that's it. Cuba is really in such a ruined state right now that, in my opinion, before November we will see Trump's triumphant entry into Havana. And the dream of socialist Cuba will end. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Politics 2026

Coin Bureau 26.03.2026

✓ True

"Because buried inside section 1,01 is a sunset clause. The prohibition on the Federal Reserve issuing a CBDC is not permanent. It explicitly expires on the 31st of December, 2030. So let's be precise about what is actually happening here. This is not a ban, but a temporary 4-year moratorum. "

✅ Factual claim Politics

Albert Rokicki 24.03.2026

✗ Negated

"I think that if the war continues, if these negotiations do not end successfully this week, and the war continues until the end of April and there are some further escalations related to these military actions. We will witness further bombardments of critical infrastructure. Both in the Gulf countries, maybe in Israel, in Iran, above all, it is also said that there may be a problem with helium supplies from Qatar. This is one of the largest producers. It affects the production of optical fibers and semiconductors, so Iran knows where to attack strategically. Well, I think that if the war continues, I wouldn't even be surprised by levels of 50 PLN. 50, maybe even towards ATH in some panic, but this is a very, very good performance. This course is definitely on fire. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Armed conflicts

Krzysztof Jackowski 21.03.2026

~ Partially

"If Israel attacks Iran, it will ultimately end badly for Israel. But with the focus, I say, Netanyahu will disappear. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts Medium timeframe

Coin Bureau 18.03.2026

~ Partially

"Every single order filled would force the price lower, meaning subsequent coins would sell at progressively worse prices. This is textbook slippage and it would trigger a cascading liquidation event across the derivatives market that would crash the price of Bitcoin by double digits in minutes. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Albert Rokicki 11.03.2026

~ Partially

"Poland has a huge future, in my opinion, both in terms of the capital market and economically, especially the capital market should do well. For example, Eleven Labs is considering a dual listing, both on the New York stock exchange and in Poland. Also, a defense company, WB Electronic, worth PLN 30 billion, will enter WIG20 practically automatically. Very good times are ahead of us. Simply put, good companies will enter the stock exchange, and weak ones will go into oblivion, so to speak. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy Medium timeframe

Albert Rokicki 03.03.2026

~ Partially

"So if it reached 90 to 100, that would certainly mean no interest rate cuts this year. Perhaps we could forget about it until the end of the year, and discussions about rate hikes would even begin, and that would undoubtedly cause a further collapse on the stock market, a deepening of these declines, right? So from a regular pullback, we would enter a correction of over 10% up to 20%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Albert Rokicki 03.03.2026

✗ Failed

"I believe this war will end soon. I am from such an optimist camp. Well, let's be honest, Iran does not have the ability to continue or will surrender, and this regime will want to cooperate, even tactically, diplomatically end the war, claiming it wants to get rid of its further nuclear program, continuation of the nuclear program. Something like that. Or it will be totally annihilated, right? And here these ballistic capabilities or Trump will simply withdraw. If he sees that oil has actually exceeded $80, he will withdraw under some pretext, stating that the goals have been achieved, and the old song, the so-called taco. Well, it is known that he promised cheap fuel in the United States. He might be afraid, right, that these rising commodity prices could break the consumer and lead America into recession, because oil shocks practically have 100% effectiveness. If oil rose well above $100, $110, $120, I would be convinced that America would enter some mild recession. Mild, but still, right? And the American stock market in a bear market, meaning a drop of at least 20%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 02.03.2026

✗ Failed

"World War Three will happen in 2026. I have this feeling of February, February, March 2026. Other things will happen in the world, also warlike, but World War Three, seriously, will start in February, March 2026. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 02.03.2026

✗ Failed

"The Third World War will happen in 2026. I have a feeling that in February, March 2026, other warlike things will happen in the world, but the world war will seriously begin in February, March 2026. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026

Krzysztof Jackowski 26.02.2026

~ Partially

"There will be very massive attacks on Ukraine, an acceleration of the war. Putin will very strongly accelerate the war in Ukraine. Ukraine will suffer severe defeats in the nearest period of time. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts Short timeframe

Albert Rokicki 13.02.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"ZUS pension will be 30% of salary. Listen, today the replacement rate in Poland is 54%. This means that a retiree receives half of their last salary, which is already low, but in 20 years the replacement rate will drop to 30%. In 25 years it may be only 25%. This means that from a salary of 10000 PLN you will receive a pension of 2500 PLN. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Society 2051

Krzysztof Jackowski 09.02.2026

✗ Failed

"This banking collapse in the United States will very strongly affect Europe. Capital from banks will not disappear, will not be lost, only there will not be full access to capital, for example, if you have savings in a larger sum in a bank, you will not lose that money. They will be as if in such a deposit, but you will not be able to withdraw larger amounts of cash. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy Medium timeframe