Piotr Kosek 06.03.2026

✓ Fulfilled

""An alternative to the black hole (BH) scenario has been recently proposed in terms of a supermassive compact object composed of self-gravitating fermionic dark matter (DM)." "The international team of researchers have instead put forward an alternative idea – that a specific type of dark matter made up of fermions, or light subatomic particles, can create a unique cosmic structure that also fits with what we know about the Milky Way's core. It would in theory produce a super-dense, compact core surrounded by a vast, diffuse halo, which together would act as a single, unified entity." "

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🌐 Scenario Other

Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026

◔ Pending

"However, if Starship doesn't deliver, then Blue Origin will probably be the one to land as the first private crewed mission on the Moon. I mean, maybe not the mission, because the mission won't be private, but the lander will be private. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Technology

Albert Rokicki 03.03.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"It cannot be ruled out that this Shiller CAPE ratio will break its previous peak from 2000. It will continue to grow for many, many years. For example, I can imagine it reaching 60, 70, and only after x years, perhaps 10, 15, will another crash occur. But no one can predict how high this indicator can go. Neither I, nor Warren Buffett. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 17.02.2026

~ Partially

"California just floated a billionaire net worth tax. Illinois considered marktomarket taxation. The Netherlands is just the first domino to actually fall. And if it works there, meaning it raises enough money without causing a total economic collapse, you can bet other finance ministers will be taking notes. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Piotr Kosek 11.02.2026

◔ Pending

"If a strangelet hit a neutron star, it might catalyze quarks near its surface to form into more strange matter, potentially continuing until the entire star became a strange star. The strange matter hypothesis remains unproven. No direct search for strangelets in cosmic rays or particle accelerators has yet confirmed a strangelet. The researchers are unanimous in saying that doubts about the existence of strange stars and quark stars — which would be even denser and more stable than neutron stars — will only be resolved when there are yet more precise data on their masses and radiuses. Strange dwarf (SD) – white dwarf (WD) system evolution in Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA)'s absolute amplitude-frequency diagram is investigated. Since there is a strange quark core inside an SD, SDs' radii are significantly smaller than the value predicted by the standard WD mod... "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Other

Piotr Kosek 11.02.2026

◔ Pending

"Strangelets turn out to have their unique signature. If such a quark nugget hit Earth or the Moon, it would pierce through them like a hot knife through butter, leaving behind a long, straight tunnel. It would not be an ordinary meteorite hole. Seismographs on Earth could register specific vibrations caused by the passage of such a projectile through our planet's mantle. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Other

Leszek Sykulski 06.02.2026

◔ Pending

"And one cannot rule out that the Americans will either limit or even withdraw their presence from Poland. The question is whether this is still such a pretext, whether this type of statement by the Speaker of the Sejm is a sufficient pretext, or whether there must be a greater exacerbation in transatlantic relations. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Politics

G

Graham Stephan 06.02.2026

~ Partially

"However, when our dollar becomes weak, it encourages other countries to buy from the United States because we appear cheaper. It pushes stock prices higher and it makes the government's massive debt easier to deal with over "

🌐 Scenario Economy

G

Graham Stephan 30.01.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"Trump's entire plan could be broken down into 13 steps. One, Trump posts a cryptic message signaling tariffs on a specific country or sector. Two, Trump then announces a large new tariff that catches people off guard. Three, over the weekend, Trump doubles down while the markets are closed. Four, over that same weekend, other countries respond or double down on their claim. Five, on Sunday night, stock market futures open lower. Six, when the market opens, Trump applies even more pressure, causing stocks to fall even further. Seven, after another few days, investors begin to buy the dip and the stock market begins to recover. Eight, on the following weekend, Trump posts that discussions are underway and that he's working towards a resolution. Nine, that Sunday evening, stock market futures open even higher as optimism begins to increase. 10, the Trump administration then announces that a new agreement is in the works. 11. Over the next few weeks or months, more progress is made. 12. A trade deal or resolution is finally announced. "

🌐 Scenario Politics

Albert Rokicki 29.01.2026

~ Partially

"Yes, and there might be a mini black swan in the United States, which paradoxically might help Europe and the Polish market, because capital will rotate even more, it will flee from America to Europe, to emerging markets, and to Poland. And we will benefit from this. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

G

Graham Stephan 28.01.2026

~ Partially

"If rates stay higher for longer, cash earns more, debt becomes more expensive, housing stays sluggish, and the market remains volatile. But if rates drop aggressively in 2026, then the stock market could keep going higher, precious metals and crypto could go crazy, housing could rebound, and we could see another latestage meltup. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 25.01.2026

~ Partially

"This would result in the mass adoption of crypto in the highest value jurisdiction, which could be rocket fuel for the tokens affiliated with the most popular crypto cards. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Coin Bureau 25.01.2026

~ Partially

"Well, millions of Americans will switch to using crypto cards. The result would be true crypto adoption on a massive scale and enormous rallies for the stocks and cryptos affiliated with these cards. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

G

Graham Stephan 20.01.2026

✗ Negated

"If an agreement isn't reached by June 1st for the acquisition or purchase of Greenland, the tariff would increase from 10% all the way to 25%. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Leszek Sykulski 19.01.2026

✗ Negated

"In the context of these tariffs, which are supposed to later increase to 25%, if an agreement was not reached, if Donald Trump's expectations regarding Greenland were not met, then, as I said, these tariffs are to increase from June 1st to as much as 25%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Politics

Leszek Sykulski 19.01.2026

◔ Pending

"A hot conflict, a normal kinetic war between the United States and Denmark, which could be supported by Germany, France, or other countries, would lead to the disintegration of the North Atlantic Alliance. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Armed Conflicts

G

Graham Stephan 17.01.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"If this were to pass, rental prices are going to go up because there's less rental inventory. Home prices might also begin to go up because there's less incentive to build houses in bulk. then nothing is going to be done to improve home affordability. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Leszek Sykulski 12.01.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"American bases, American embassies, logistical centers, corporate assets, so to speak, of American companies would become targets of attacks. Not only from Iran, of course, from the Yemeni Houthis, from Hezbollah, from other operational assets of Iranian intelligence and Shiite organizations in the region and not only in the Middle East region. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Armed Conflicts

Leszek Sykulski 12.01.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"If Iran were to be destabilized, then there would be a disruption of energy flows, shipping routes, and so on. This would affect global trade. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Piotr Kosek 07.01.2026

◔ Pending

"Okay, we measure mirror displacements, but if a gravitational wave consists of gravitons, then another phenomenon must occur. It's about energy exchange. Laser photons should exchange energy with gravitons in the gravitational wave. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Technology