Albert Rokicki 03.03.2026

? Unverifiable

"If oil significantly breaks above 80, are you planning a reduction? Yes, I would then consider a reduction if my proprietary indicator of probability of increases is currently in the neutral zone. If it enters the defensive zone, then it suggests reducing the portfolio to have cash for potential market opportunities. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

Piotr Kosek 20.02.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"Despite this, fluctuations in methane levels are periodically detected in its thin atmosphere, which may be a sign of ongoing biological activity deep underground. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Other

Leszek Sykulski 14.02.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"the American military may attack not only Iran's nuclear infrastructure, i.e., the civilian program that Iran currently possesses, but also critical infrastructure and Iranian state facilities, security institutions, as well as carry out acts, so-called decapitation acts, on representatives of the Iranian state. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Armed Conflicts

Albert Rokicki 06.02.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"If he had an IKE and invested in Polish dividend companies, he would receive income from company dividends without tax and could sell shares without paying the Belka tax. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Economy

G

Graham Stephan 06.02.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"Trump wants the dollar to lose purchasing power. Because when our dollar is strong, other countries need to pay more to buy American goods. Our products become a little bit less competitive. And when our money buys more overseas, it encourages people to shop outside of the country. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Piotr Kosek 28.01.2026

◔ Pending

"During the collapse of a star, matter becomes extremely hot and dense. Before the horizon closes, quantum processes may cause the star to radiate its mass so quickly that the horizon never forms. The star evaporates before becoming a black hole. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Technology

G

Graham Stephan 28.01.2026

~ Partially

"Right now, there's a lot of tension between Europe and the US dollar. Tariff threats get thrown around on a seemingly daily basis. And eventually, if one of them sticks, the markets could see a rather abrupt sell-off, at least temporary. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Leszek Sykulski 20.01.2026

◔ Pending

"If countries pay one billion dollars in the first year of the project, then they will receive a guarantee of permanent membership. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Politics

Coin Bureau 17.01.2026

◔ Pending

"If this stash exists, and if the United States government gets the private keys, they don't just become a whale, they become the market. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

G

Graham Stephan 08.01.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"Second, even if they did ban institutional investors from buying single-family homes, it would need to be strict enough to prevent the circumvention of a company just creating shell organizations, putting the properties under those LLCs, and buying just enough not to trigger the limit. "

🌐 Scenario Politics

G

Graham Stephan 08.01.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"First, Congress could face severe legal challenges trying to ban an entire investor class from owning properties. Sure, they could argue that they're preventing housing market distortions and trying to improve affordability, but it's not without a legal fight. "

🌐 Scenario Politics

Piotr Kosek 07.01.2026

· Unverified

"W zależności od tego, jak zgramy w czasie impulsy lasera z nadchodzącą falą grawitacyjną, możemy albo wstrzyknąć energię do fali grawitacyjnej, albo ją z niej wyciągnąć. "

🌐 original

🌐 Scenario Technology

Coin Bureau 06.01.2026

✗ Negated

"Uważa się, że Bitcoin jest w tyle za złotem o około 3 miesiące. Jeśli tak jest rzeczywiście, to ogromny rajd złota pod koniec 2025 roku powinien przełożyć się na ogromny rajd Bitcoina na początku 2026 roku. "

🌐 Scenario Economy

Piotr Kosek 04.01.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"The Fermi paradox is a conflict between the argument that scale and probability seem to favor intelligent life being common in the universe, and the total lack of evidence of intelligent life having ever arisen anywhere other than on Earth. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Other

Piotr Kosek 04.01.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"If the probability of life arising on one planet is extremely small, then the expected number of civilizations in the entire universe is zero. We essentially have an empty cosmos. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Other

Robert Bernatowicz 06.11.2023

? Unverifiable

"What kind of event could this be? You know, it could be a global event, some great catastrophe. Krzysiek talks about this tectonic shot, that it will be some kind of story like that. But it could also be, for example, an encounter with aliens, or for example, I don't know, the revelation of some truth about us, about humanity, about reincarnation, about anything. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Catastrophes

Albert Rokicki 11.04.2026

~ Partially

"And also an interesting fact, that Archer, I don't know if it will make it, but it has signed an exclusivity agreement for the transport of participants of the FIFA World Cup. Imagine that. But since we're talking about the second half of the year here, it might unfortunately not make it, right? Perhaps only some demonstration, test flights, but it won't be massive, right? "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Technology

Piotr Kosek 07.01.2026

◔ Pending

"If gravitons exist, these waves carry unimaginable quantities of them. But how do we currently measure this? We use interferometers. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Technology