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Claims

932 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026

Język oryginału

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Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 23.05.2026
? Unverifiable
"De la Spa wins. Salvadoran-style shock. Short-term strengthening of the PESO on a wave of right-wing investor enthusiasm and immediate risk of collision with the Supreme Court, Constitutional Tribunal, and Congress, i.e., political risk premium going up after the first attempts at extradition decrees. "
translated PL · original
🌐 Scenario Economy
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 23.05.2026
Negated
"Walensja wins. Center-right correction. Attempt to rebuild relations with Washington. Fiscal plan to be agreed with Congress. PESO may strengthen below 3500, and the Colcup index returns to an upward trend. "
translated PL · original
🌐 Scenario Economy
Krzysztof Jackowski Krzysztof Jackowski 22.05.2026
~ Partially
"There is a plan to unexpectedly attack Iran and pacify it. The plan is for a sudden, precise attack to neutralize and eliminate the entire command, the entire government of Iran. But this may not succeed. Iran will retaliate, and then there will be a huge attack on Iran. Wars will ignite, and this will lead to a crisis, including a large food crisis. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Armed conflicts 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 17.05.2026
True
"German economic growth in 2026 is half a percent, and Poland, according to forecasts, even 3.8%. This means that we are growing 6 to seven times faster than Europe's largest economy. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 16.05.2026
Failed
"BlackRock has not entered this market yet, and when they do, given IBIT's 66.4% capture rate, expect them to take the lion's share of flows almost immediately. "
🔮 Forecast Technology Short timeframe
Albert Rokicki Albert Rokicki 16.05.2026
~ Partially
"And perfectly, perfectly on point here, this is happening, because this fourth quarter was already declining and the first quarter of 2026 confirms this trend. We have the second consecutive quarter of apartment price drops in these largest cities, and the bottom is predicted here by Tomek Narkun at the turn of 2029-2030. So now buying an apartment for rent is a very risky decision, because one must expect declines in these properties, and if I had to advise someone, I would tell them to wait a few years for possibly better apartment prices, to get a better return on investment, so that it wouldn't be at most 4% or 3% as it is currently in Warsaw, but for it to increase to 6-7% as it once was from renting. "
translated PL · original
⚠️ Warning Economy 2029
Ad
Krzysztof Jackowski Krzysztof Jackowski 12.05.2026
Failed
"An Italian city or Italian cities come to mind. Suddenly, very disturbing information will appear. Perhaps I am wrong about the country, but in some Italian city in Italy, disease outbreaks will suddenly appear that will spread very quickly. We will learn in a short time, one, in two days, that there are outbreaks of some infections among people somewhere, and within a short time, say a week or two, it will grow so much that the government will decide on some measures, a rapidly spreading virus. It seems to me that it will start in Italy. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Disasters 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 11.05.2026
Negated
"First short-term scenario. Trump and Xi agree on Iran. Beijing pressures Tehran. Iran yields on Hormuz. Tankers move. Brent falls to around $80, maybe lower. What does this mean in practice for Poland? Inflation loses momentum. Fuel at stations gets cheaper by several dozen groszy. Electricity bills stop being so scary, at least a bit. The National Bank of Poland gets an argument to maintain interest rates or even to cut them slightly. The zloty strengthens, WIG 20 catches its breath. General relief. "
translated PL · original
🌐 Scenario Economy
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 09.05.2026
~ Partially
"Demography plus misery equals export of people. 220 million Nigerians is not an abstract African problem. It's a question of what the migration map of Europe will look like in 5-10 years. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Society 2036
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 07.05.2026
Failed
"It is not a question of whether Poland will enter the same scenario as Germany. Unfortunately, it is a question of when it will enter, whether in 2027 or 2028. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Economy 2027
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 06.05.2026
Negated
"If the Senate Banking Committee does not formally mark up the Clarity Act before the Memorial Day recess on May 21st, the entire framework collapses. Midterms swallow the calendar, and comprehensive crypto market structure legislation is reportedly pushed out as far back as 2030. "
🌐 Scenario Politics
Albert Rokicki Albert Rokicki 06.05.2026
True
"Top 5 2183% over 13 years, I repeat, as of the end of April this year 2026. For posterity, I will emphasize here that annually it is 27%. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Economy
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026
~ Partially
"Home appliances (washing machine, refrigerator, dryer), because it's not just a chip. It's also a kilo of plastic in the casing, a kilo of rubber in the seals, a kilo of aluminum in the drum. Everything three times more expensive. Itoro experts in Polish financial media are already saying directly: Smartphones, laptops, consoles, refrigerators, washing machines, everything will get more expensive in the coming months. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Economy 2026
Coin Bureau Coin Bureau 04.05.2026
Negated
"The practical markup window closes in mid-May. The recess begins on the 25th and after that, the midterm cycle starts swallowing every available legislative day. If the Clarity Act dies in this window, then comprehensive market structure legislation pushes deep into 2027 or beyond and the industry returns to regulation by enforcement. "
🌐 Scenario Politics
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026
~ Partially
"ASUS announced price increases for new computers by 25 to 30%. McQuery, an Australian investment bank, forecasts consumer electronics price increases of 10 to 20% in 2026. Numura more conservatively forecasts 5%. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Economy 2026
Ad
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 04.05.2026
Failed
"The global smartphone shipment forecast for 2026 will drop by 2%, and the average valuation will increase by almost 7%. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Economy 2026
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 26.04.2026
Negated
"And the second option is to return to bond buying and continue printing yen. It saves bonds but kills the currency. The yen is already at 160, and at 200 we have a scenario where imported inflation devours the remnants of real wages. Senior poverty increases geometrically. Another Akio in rice shops. "
translated PL · original
🌐 Scenario Economy
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 26.04.2026
~ Partially
"Annually, Japan could become insolvent at 2% rates. "
translated PL · original
🌐 Scenario Economy
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 26.04.2026
~ Partially
"The third option, which markets are already pricing in, is a controlled devaluation with half-open eyes. That is, the loss of money value, pretending everything is under control, verbal interventions, selling foreign exchange reserves. Exactly as Great Britain did in 1992 before George Soros' famous attack on the pound. Billionaire investor Ray Dalio in January 2026 called Japan exactly such a demonstrative case of what happens to every country that allows debt to grow above its service capacity. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Economy Short timeframe
Comparic Rynki Comparic Rynki 23.04.2026
~ Partially
"Optimistic scenario. Trump makes a deal with Iran. Ormus returns to normal. Jet fuel drops to $120 per barrel in summer. Bydgoszcz regains Frankfurt in the fourth quarter, and the pessimistic scenario: war escalates, Russia continues to scheme. European reserves fall below 23 days. physical shortages at airports, rationing, ban on short-haul flights, and with this scenario, a full recession in the aviation industry. "
translated PL · original
🌐 Scenario Economy