Claims
1,104 claims · 01.01.1150 – 11.06.2026
Content language
"In short, no cuts this year. The Monetary Policy Council has its hands tied. Council members say this directly. In conditions of rising oil prices, we will not only not cut, but we may even raise. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"Standard Charters has estimated that if stable coin interest isn't restricted, it could potentially pull as much as half a trillion dollars out of the regulated banking system by 2028. "
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2028
"Annually, Japan could become insolvent at 2% rates. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"The third option, which markets are already pricing in, is a controlled devaluation with half-open eyes. That is, the loss of money value, pretending everything is under control, verbal interventions, selling foreign exchange reserves. Exactly as Great Britain did in 1992 before George Soros' famous attack on the pound. Billionaire investor Ray Dalio in January 2026 called Japan exactly such a demonstrative case of what happens to every country that allows debt to grow above its service capacity. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
Short timeframe
"And the second option is to return to bond buying and continue printing yen. It saves bonds but kills the currency. The yen is already at 160, and at 200 we have a scenario where imported inflation devours the remnants of real wages. Senior poverty increases geometrically. Another Akio in rice shops. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"Analysts estimate that if Vero captures at least 20% of European transactions by 2030, it will push 1.5 trillion euro annually out of US payment pipelines. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
Ad
"Optimistic scenario. Trump makes a deal with Iran. Ormus returns to normal. Jet fuel drops to $120 per barrel in summer. Bydgoszcz regains Frankfurt in the fourth quarter, and the pessimistic scenario: war escalates, Russia continues to scheme. European reserves fall below 23 days. physical shortages at airports, rationing, ban on short-haul flights, and with this scenario, a full recession in the aviation industry. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"I expect that in this quarter, which is the second quarter of 2026, at least one large contract will be announced. This is my base scenario, which I am playing on. Yes. And it could even be a contract for "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"I expect that in this quarter, which is the second quarter of 2026, at least one large contract will be announced. This is my base scenario, which I'm playing for. Yes. And it could even be a contract for 6 million dollars, which will make the company profitable, just like Creotech became profitable and there was a huge pump for it, right? for very good overall results for 2025, where there was a profit of 20 million from continuing operations, meaning it didn't even include Creotech Quantum. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"The entire machine functions as long as Bitcoin keeps appreciating and the capital markets keep absorbing new share issuances. But if either condition fails, the consequences would extend far beyond a single company's balance sheet and threaten to destabilize the broader crypto market itself. "
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"In short, we have two, three days for agreements or we return to a hot phase of war. Wednesday will be the day that will probably decide how the whole quarter, and maybe even the whole year, will look. For the markets, and for us, it would be better if they reached an agreement. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Armed conflicts
2026
"And the third BigTech is getting hit blow after blow in the European Union. Apple, Samsung, Google, battery regulations are just the beginning. The erosion of margins in the European market will be counted in billions, but it will not topple these companies. Rather, it will shift valuations down by a few percent over the next two quarters. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
2026
"The direction of the flow of people, work, and capital between Poland and Germany is slowly starting to reverse, point-by-point. First in asparagus fields, then in care, then in construction, and in a few years perhaps in office jobs, in IT in medical specializations, because once a trend starts, it rarely stops at one industry. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Economy
Long timeframe
"Bioceltics has a chance to be the first Polish biotechnology company, listen, that will release its own innovative drug, a so-called first in the class, on the market. No one has succeeded so far. "
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PL · original
🔮 Forecast
Technology
Short timeframe
"And now everything depends on two things. On the outcome of these talks. If some agreement is signed. Well, then it will probably last until the elections, because then the circus will start again. I am deeply convinced that after November, it will all come back again. Uh, that, uh, first of all, that's the first condition for the bull market to last, and the second condition is the results that will be reported, I'm looking at the calendar, between April 22nd and 29th, by the Magnificent Seven companies and not only them. There's also IBM. I think IBM and Tesla are on the 22nd. Intel on the 23rd. Well, various ones. I think three Magnificent Seven companies report on the 29th. Nvidia only sometime at the end of May. Therefore, we are waiting, and depending on what we see there, actually what the management forecasts will be after the reports are published, then in conjunction with this de-escalation, we can see a bull market, a continuation of the bull market. If something slips, or there is no de-escalation, or worse, the forecasts are unsatisfactory, they will certainly be good, but maybe unsatisfactory, then we will return to a correctional arrangement. How it will be, I cannot decide at the moment, because I don't know what the companies will say and I definitely don't know what Mr. Trump will come up with in the meantime. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
Ad
"But once the new continuous trading schedule activates in late May, this specific structural artifact will cease to exist. There will never be another traditional weekend gap formed on the institutional futures chart because the market will simply never close. "
🔮 Forecast
Economy
Short timeframe
"The foundational layer of the global food system is physically shutting down because it can no longer afford the fuel required to operate. Today, we reveal why a catastrophic diesel shock is about to empty the seafood aisles in your local grocery store. "
⚠️ Warning
Economy
2026
"If the conflict ends now, inflation will not be higher. It will stay at that level. If, however, it continues and oil prices actually rise to $140, $150 or so, I'm not aiming for quotability so I won't mention levels, then of course inflation will rise and may reach 4%. This is completely realistic. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"If Ormus remains blocked for more than a month and Goldman's scenario materializes, then pressure on the Polish transport industry will return with full force. And when pressure returns to TSL, retail chain margins begin to fall, and then there's no need to explain it. We all see it on our receipts. "
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PL · original
🌐 Scenario
Economy
"There were various reasons. They disappeared because the war, I tell you again, the war helped, not harmed, for various reasons. If the war ends, these factors will return. Absolutely will return. Therefore, even if SNQ sets a new record, which I do not rule out, I am not optimistic, because what I said will undoubtedly return. There are no miracles. "
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PL · original
⚠️ Warning
Economy
Medium timeframe