Coin Bureau on Politics — predictions scored
4 tracked claims · Accuracy: 33%
Coin Bureau
06.05.2026
"If the Senate Banking Committee does not formally mark up the Clarity Act before the Memorial Day recess on May 21st, the entire framework collapses. Midterms swallow the calendar, and comprehensive crypto market structure legislation is reportedly pushed out as far back as 2030. "
🌐 Scenario
Politics
Coin Bureau
04.05.2026
"The practical markup window closes in mid-May. The recess begins on the 25th and after that, the midterm cycle starts swallowing every available legislative day. If the Clarity Act dies in this window, then comprehensive market structure legislation pushes deep into 2027 or beyond and the industry returns to regulation by enforcement. "
🌐 Scenario
Politics
Coin Bureau
26.03.2026
"Because buried inside section 1,01 is a sunset clause. The prohibition on the Federal Reserve issuing a CBDC is not permanent. It explicitly expires on the 31st of December, 2030. So let's be precise about what is actually happening here. This is not a ban, but a temporary 4-year moratorum. "
✅ Factual claim
Politics
Coin Bureau
26.03.2026
"If a CBDCfriendly administration wins in November 2028, they will be fully installed and empowered by the time the ban expires in December 2030. "
🌐 Scenario
Politics