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Igor Janke on Disasters — predictions scored

Igor Janke on Disasters — predictions scored

6 tracked claims · Accuracy: 100%

Igor Janke Igor Janke 07.05.2026
True
"On Monday, May 17, at 4:34 PM, a transformer station serving almost the entire largest power plant in Poland malfunctioned. 3.6 GW of power 'dropped out' of the system in one second. [...] The grid frequency dropped slightly below 49.9 Hz, which was felt across the entire synchronous operating area of the UCTE system, from North Africa through almost all of Europe, up to Turkey. Polish energy officials say human error was to blame for a massive outage at Europe's largest brown coal power plant of Belchatow last month and a separate fire there just days later, according to the state PAP news agency. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Catastrophes
Igor Janke Igor Janke 22.05.2026
True
"A few years ago, in '21, the city archive burned down there, and essentially the history of the city burned down, but also the history of the city from the last several, several dozen years, that transformational one, meaning all privatizations, reprivatizations, and so on. "
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✅ Factual claim Catastrophes
Igor Janke Igor Janke 15.05.2026
True
"Indeed, the approach to forests and water in Poland is not good. Indeed, not enough is being done to retain water in forests. And that is undeniably true. "
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✅ Factual claim Catastrophes
Igor Janke Igor Janke 15.05.2026
True
"At the same time, it seems to me that we should not, formally speaking, exaggerate, and colloquially speaking, let ourselves go crazy. The data you provided is true. But at the same time, it is also true that when it comes to forest fires, there were significantly more forest fires in Poland in the nineties, with the terrible year of ninety-two, when Kuźnia Raciborska. That was such a basic, most famous fire then. At that time, the data says, there were significantly more forest fires in Poland. Recently, in twenty-three, twenty-four, there was a fundamental decrease in the number of these forest fires in Poland. In twenty-five, they indeed increased. This year they are increasing even more, and that is very bad. "
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✅ Factual claim Catastrophes
Igor Janke Igor Janke 12.05.2026
True
"150 passengers, 150 people in total on board this cruise ship. And new people are increasingly developing symptoms. We have three fatalities, if I remember correctly, plus new people with symptoms are appearing. "
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✅ Factual claim Catastrophes
Igor Janke Igor Janke 15.05.2026
True
"Nevertheless, the afforestation of the country has been slowly but steadily growing for several decades, not decreasing. "
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✅ Factual claim Catastrophes