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Benjamin Cowen (Into the Cryptoverse)
Claim author · 📅 26.05.2026 · Bitcoin: The Four Year Cycle Is Not Dead
~ Partially

S&P 500 Four-Year Cycle

"If you look at the S&P 500, right now it's still putting in new all-time highs and the cycle goes on. If you go back two many decades ago, and you look at the S&P 500, you'll notice the 4-year cycle pattern also intact where lows in the market appro- occurred approximately every 4 years. 1962, 1966, 1970, 1974, um 1978, 1982."

ℹ️ In shortThe S&P 500 shows a 4-year cycle where market lows occurred approximately every four years, such as in 1962, 1966, 1970, 1974, 1978, and 1982.

Partially. Benjamin Cowen's claim consists of two parts. The first, regarding new S&P 500 all-time highs in May 2026, is confirmed, as the index reached new highs during that period. The second part, concerning a 4-year cycle of S&P 500 lows...
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Verification ✦ Analysis generated with AI Pro
Methodology Benjamin Cowen's claim consists of two parts. The first, regarding new S&P 500 all-time highs in May 2026, is confirmed, as the index reached new highs during that period. The second part, concerning a 4-year cycle of S&P 500 lows with specific years mentioned (1962, 1966, 1970, 1974, 1978, 1982), is partially confirmed. There is evidence of presidential (4-year) cycles influencing the stock market, and some of the mentioned years were indeed years of market declines or bottoms. However, not all listed years were precise 4-year cycle bottoms, and the concept of a strict 4-year cycle is debated among analysts. For instance, 1962 saw a decline, as did 1966 and 1970. 1974 was a significant bottom. 1978 was not a typical bottom year, while 1982 was a major bottom. Overall, the concept of a cycle is recognized, but the precision of the listed years as strict 4-year bottoms is debatable.
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🔄 Last review: 20.06.2026 📥 Added: 20.06.2026
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AI-generated analysis: This result is an assessment by a language model, not an expert opinion or a legally binding verdict. Verify sources before making any decisions. Model: gemini-2.5-flash

For informational purposes only. Not investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Full disclaimer

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Transcript excerpt English

… year as to why we wouldn't go into a bear market, they all failed and Bitcoin actually went into a bear market anyways. Nothing is different this time with the exception that Bitcoin topped on apathy rather than euphoria. But, just because an asset tops on apathy rather than euphoria does not mean that it can't enter into a bear market regardless. If you look at the S&P 500, right now it's still putting in new all-time highs and the cycle goes on. If you go back two many decades ago, and you look at the S&P 500, you'll notice the 4-year cycle pattern also intact where lows in the market appro- occurred approximately every 4 years. 1962, 1966, 1970, 1974, um 1978, 1982. So, you can see the lows occurred approximately every 4 years. But, the highs did not always occur approximately every 4 years. Sometimes the bear market was only about a year. Like from late 1965 into October of 1966. But, there are examples where you only had a 2-year bull market followed by a 2-year bear market. And what you'll notice is that w …

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