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Graham Stephan
Claim author · 📅 17.06.2026 · BREAKING: The FED Cancels ALL Rate Cuts -...
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Tech IPO performance

"The median tech IPO is actually down 7.4% 6 months after its first trading day and was still down 3.5% a full year later."

ℹ️ In shortThe median tech IPO is down 7.4% six months after its first trading day and still down 3.5% a full year later.

Partially. The claim states that the median tech IPO was down 7.4% after 6 months and 3.5% after a year. Available data indicates that the median decline after one year was 9% or 6%, which differs from the stated 3.5%. There is also no speci...
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Verification ✦ Analysis generated with AI Pro
Methodology The claim states that the median tech IPO was down 7.4% after 6 months and 3.5% after a year. Available data indicates that the median decline after one year was 9% or 6%, which differs from the stated 3.5%. There is also no specific data found for the 6-month median performance.
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🔄 Last review: 20.06.2026 📥 Added: 20.06.2026
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AI-generated analysis: This result is an assessment by a language model, not an expert opinion or a legally binding verdict. Verify sources before making any decisions. Model: gemini-2.5-flash

For informational purposes only. Not investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Full disclaimer

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Transcript excerpt English

And on the surface, the returns have been pretty incredible. Like the average IPO company was up 248% in just 5 years. But the catch here is that the average is skewed up heavily by a few incredible winners like Shopify and Palanteer, which have both increased by thousands of percent. So when you take those out of the equation, believe it or not, the median tech IPO is actually down 7.4% 6 months after its first trading day and was still down 3.5% a full year later. On top of that, when it comes to SpaceX specifically, the reason that some of the big winners like Shopify and Palanteer did so well is because they IPOed small and then they grew into hundred billion dollar market giants. But SpaceX is already trading at over a $2 trillion valuation, meaning that 30x returns from here are extremely unlikely. And

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