Comparic Rynki 27.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"Insider trading on bets about whether we will overthrow a dictator. Until now, no one knew if it was punishable at all. Now Vanije will test it for everyone. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2027

Piotr Kosek 27.04.2026

! Misleading

"Orion, as we can see, is coming in here, yes, it is then installed on top of the rocket, if it shows up here, on a special crane, as you can see, it's all being lifted up. And that's the capsule that then flew around the Moon, right? Much larger than the command modules during the Apollo program, because it's as much as 3 meters wider. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Technology

Piotr Kosek 27.04.2026

✓ True

"Space Shuttles were once estimated to cost almost a billion dollars per flight, but it was also expensive because many things had to be replaced due to the powerful forces acting during re-entry. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Technology

Igor Janke 27.04.2026

✓ True

"The People's Republic of China has so far imposed its own restrictions on seven European entities mainly related to the aviation and space sectors. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Politics

Piotr Kosek 27.04.2026

✓ True

"The system employs five, mutually independent flotation bags. For reliability, the design includes a simple, no-moving-parts approach. Upon activation, a pressurized helium gas tank inflates the bags to provide the required buoyancy for the spacecraft. In case there are problems with the real-time telemetry stream, NASA added 12 data recorders to the test capsule. The devices will be jettisoned from the vehicle during its descent into the ocean. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Technology

Piotr Kosek 27.04.2026

! Misleading

"NASA is very orthodox. NASA is very resistant to technological innovations and prefers things that work and are battle-tested, so most of these things could actually be seen in the era of space shuttles. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Technology

Piotr Kosek 27.04.2026

✓ True

"Artemis Accords is, so to speak, joint lunar exploration. And here we have companies, companies, so to speak, companies from countries, countries that participate in the Artemis Accords. Oh, Poland. Exactly. Uh, so we have Angola, Argentina, Armenia, we have various countries there, right. There is also Poland, as you can see here Poland also and Polish companies have and will increasingly have their contribution to the return of man to the Moon. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Politics

Comparic Rynki 26.04.2026

✓ True

"The International Energy Agency estimates that by 2040, the demand for key metals in the clean energy sector will increase by as much as four times. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Economy

Witold Gadowski 26.04.2026

◔ Pending

"If we don't manage to introduce visas for Ukrainians before the end of the war, then another contingent of degenerate people will come here, who will diversify our social life. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Society 2026

Kuba Klawiter 26.04.2026

◔ Pending

"So it turns out that this is not the best way to get rich, because someone, in this case the Polymarket Platform, can sell you to the police. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Society 2030

Kuba Klawiter 26.04.2026

✓ Fulfilled

"Excitement about AI has dropped 14 percentage points since 2025, to 22% this year, and hopefulness has fallen 9 points, to 18%, while anger has increased 9 points, to 31%. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Society 2026

Comparic Rynki 26.04.2026

◔ Pending

"many indications suggest that high copper prices may persist, because this deficit in the copper market may appear, may return like a boomerang. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2031

Comparic Rynki 26.04.2026

✓ Occurred

"When demography starts working against the pension system, an individual long-term plan ceases to be a luxury. And in Poland, we are also starting to see this increasingly painfully. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

⚠️ Warning Society 2041

Comparic Rynki 25.04.2026

◔ Pending

"For 2026, there should be even more, so this year we will probably spend much more. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Economy 2026

Comparic Rynki 25.04.2026

~ Partially

"One possible scenario is that ecosystems win, meaning the strongest companies turn out to be those that already have a given user, already have a device, have a daily point of contact, simply meet with that user every day. At this point, if this entire ecosystem wins, then companies like Google, Microsoft, or Apple have the greatest chance of winning. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Technology

Comparic Rynki 25.04.2026

~ Partially

"It may also turn out that infrastructure will win, as it has been so far. Nvidia became the company with the largest capitalization in the world precisely because infrastructure, this hardware, was essential for any other considerations. What else can become an age of considerations in which direction artificial intelligence could develop further? And here, of course, those who offer the greatest computing power, cloud, implementation tools such as Nvidia, AWS or Azure, I'm talking about Microsoft, they have the greatest chance to be the winner here. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Technology

Comparic Rynki 25.04.2026

~ Partially

"In the third scenario, agents may win, meaning the biggest change is caused not by the model itself, but by an AI agent that takes over real tasks. And indeed, we can easily imagine that this is a huge added value, that even if some model might not be perfect, might not give us ideal answers, but if it were able to take over some of our tasks, giving us more free time, then this is a path that could be very beneficial for companies like the aforementioned OpenAI, which cooperates very closely, is even dependent on Microsoft, Google, but also perhaps some new players that might appear on the market. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🌐 Scenario Technology

Witold Gadowski 25.04.2026

✓ True

"PiS is to blame for letting in a flood of Ukrainians who now cannot be sent back to Ukraine. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Politics

Witold Gadowski 24.04.2026

◔ Pending

"And it is Ukrainians who demand, are outraged that one must pass a Polish language exam when applying for Polish citizenship. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

✅ Factual claim Society

Krzysztof Jackowski 24.04.2026

◔ Pending

"something like this will happen: leaders will flee from some countries, as if they were afraid of something or as if they fled for their safety. In some countries, laws will have to be rewritten because there will be lawlessness. "

🇵🇱 translated PL · original

🔮 Forecast Politics 2028