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Leszek Sykulski on Politics — predictions scored

Leszek Sykulski on Politics — predictions scored

128 tracked claims · Accuracy: 79%

Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 01.03.2026
True
"Iran has already confirmed that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei died in an Israeli attack. Khamenei was 80 86 years old. According to the Iranian constitution, until a new supreme leader is elected, power is exercised by a three-person council, consisting of the president, the head of the judiciary, and a faqih, i.e., a scholar of scripture who is a member of the Guardian Council, the new supreme leader. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 01.03.2026
Fulfilled
"the aggression by Israel and the United States on Iran carried out in June 2025, as well as on February 28, 2026, is contrary to international law, is an act of aggression from the perspective of international law, is a violation of the United Nations Charter and all major provisions of international law. "
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💬 Opinion Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 22.02.2026
? Unverifiable
"However, the amendment signed by President Nawrocki directly covers Ukrainian citizens benefiting from such temporary protection status as a category of stay with these benefits. And this is something that can be said to be an expansion of the privileges enjoyed by Ukrainian citizens in our country. "
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💬 Opinion Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 18.02.2026
True
"On February 17, 2026, a coalition of over 80, including the European Union, which is very interesting and practically almost all its member states, adopted a joint statement condemning Israel's unilateral actions aimed at expanding its presence in the West Bank, and this is something that can be said to have united many states despite geopolitical divisions. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 14.02.2026
Pending
"If the Polish state, through the hands and mouths of its decision-makers, continues to proclaim this, pursue such a policy, and propagate such theories about the inevitability of war with Russia, if it continues to stubbornly push this Russophobic narrative, we must realize that Poland will become a pariah of Europe, it will become a very inconvenient pebble in the shoe for those Western European leaders who want to reach an understanding with Russia, who want to normalize relations with Russia, who want to talk to Russia just as the 47th President of the United States, Donald Trump, talks to Russia. "
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⚠️ Warning Politics 2031
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 13.02.2026
Fulfilled
"Americans plan to reduce their conventional support for Europe and also plan to withdraw some of their troops. This is extremely important. "
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🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 13.02.2026
! Misleading
"Poland today is largely disarmed. A lot, 47 packages of military aid went to Ukraine under very questionable legal bases. In addition, as I say, we have purchases of equipment, whether Korean or American, which requires the synchronization of subunits, tactical formations, and so on, and the training of reserves. This takes a long, long time. Additionally, we see problems, for example, with engines for Korean K2 tanks. This is a huge problem when it comes to a gap in the Polish state's defense system. A lot of equipment, over 1000 units of heavy equipment, has been transferred to Ukraine. Equipment that Polish reservists were able to operate. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 13.02.2026
True
"In this situation, as the Deputy Head of the Pentagon emphasizes, the United States prioritizes its own security, meaning the defense of the United States territory. Firstly, secondly, interests in the Western Hemisphere, and thirdly, strengthening deterrence policy in the Western Pacific. Three absolute priorities, I emphasize once again. Defense of US territory, defense of American interests in the Western Hemisphere, and deterrence in the Western Pacific. Three priorities. There is no mention here, for example, of the greatest threat, which would be, for example, Russia. It is not specified. Quite the opposite. It is said that Europe, as I have already mentioned, is to be responsible for its own conventional deterrence, for example, in relation to Russia. This is not the main, it is not a priority at all today for the United States, and this is a very significant strategic shift. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 30.01.2026
Pending
"However, on January 29, 2026, the topic was again taken up by Stern magazine, and there is already a direct declaration there stating that Germany would be technically capable of building its own nuclear weapons within three years. "
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💬 Opinion Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 29.01.2026
True
"After two Ukrainian saboteurs tried to derail trains near Lublin last November, Poland demanded that Ukraine provide it with data on criminals. As a result, on December 11, 2025, a new international agreement was signed, which reads, quote, on cooperation in preventing, detecting and combating crime, as well as prosecuting perpetrators of crimes. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 09.01.2026
True
""Greenland is very important for national security... it may be a choice whether to preserve NATO or seize Greenland... It all started, if you want to know the truth, with Greenland. We want Greenland. They don't want to give it to us. And I said, 'Goodbye.'" "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 09.01.2026
True
"I have decided that for the good of our country, especially in these extremely turbulent and dangerous times, our military budget for 2027 should not be one trillion dollars, but one and a half trillion dollars. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 06.03.2026
Pending
"The intergovernmental agreement between Poland and Ukraine from December 2, 2016, simply never entered into force because it was not ratified by the parliament, nor was it signed by the president. What is required by the Constitution of the Republic of Poland? "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 06.03.2026
True
"Poland has no military pact with Ukraine. Poland is not bound by any political-military alliance. Ukraine is not an ally of the Polish state. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 22.02.2026
True
"And here, one of the key changes is the modification of the Family Benefits Act. According to the new wording of these provisions signed by President Nawrocki. Persons holding temporary protection in Poland, a PESEL number. a PESEL number, for example with a status, with a status that is granted to Ukrainians and living with their family on the territory of our country are to be covered by the scope of this act. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 22.02.2026
True
"On February 21, 2026, Arab and Muslim countries sharply condemned the words of US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee, who stated that Israel has the right to a significant part of the Middle East. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 22.02.2026
True
"Consequently, with the repeal of this provision, a corresponding amendment to the Family Benefits Act was simultaneously made, thanks to which the aforementioned war refugees, under the rules specified in this act, will be able to continue receiving family benefits... From March 5, 2026, the aforementioned war refugees from Ukraine holding a PESEL UKR number... will become beneficiaries of temporary protection... "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 18.02.2026
! Misleading
"in this unusual coalition were, among others, Poland and Russia, North Korea and South Korea, Japan and the People's Republic of China. A very, one might say unusual, unusual coalition transcending these current geopolitical divisions. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 18.02.2026
! Misleading
"people connected with Ukrainian special services, with other special services, who were not controlled in any way, are being let in. And this is the essence, the essence of the matter. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 17.02.2026
Pending
"It is worth mentioning that on February 17 of this year, talks begin in Geneva, or rather, another round of American-Iranian talks. The American delegation will be represented by Steve Whitkof and Jaret Kushner, and the Iranian delegation by Abbas Araghchi. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 17.02.2026
True
"On February 16, 2026, the Ministry of National Defense issued a special communiqué. A communiqué that withdraws, in which the Ministry of National Defense withdraws from gender training. It withdraws such gender training from the training program, the so-called supplementary training for 2026. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 17.02.2026
True
"Ladies and Gentlemen, we inform that the topic of supplementary training concerning gender for 2026 was proposed by the Chairwoman of the Council for Women's Military Service and approved by the MON Personnel Department. By decision of the Minister of National Defense, this point was withdrawn from the 2026 supplementary training program. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 17.02.2026
True
"At the same time, the head of the Hungarian Ministry of Foreign Affairs informed that, together with the Slovak Minister of Economy Denisa Saková, he sent a letter to the Croatian Minister of Economy with such a request asking for permission for the transit of Russian oil via the Adria pipeline. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 17.02.2026
True
"On February 15, 2026, Peter Szijjártó, the Hungarian Foreign Minister, announced that Ukraine, for political reasons, in his opinion, refuses to resume the transit of Russian oil via the Druzhba pipeline. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 17.02.2026
True
"Russian oil has not been flowing to Hungary and Slovakia since the beginning of the current month. On February 13 of the current year, the Slovak Ministry of Energy officially announced the halt of these supplies via the Druzhba pipeline due to, quote, damage to its section in Ukraine. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 17.02.2026
True
"Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban discussed with President Donald Trump the American authorization for the import of Russian oil despite all these restrictions, sanctions, and so on. And here the 47th President of the United States met the expectations of the Hungarian Prime Minister, understanding that Hungary's energy security is simply dependent on Russian oil. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 16.02.2026
! Disputed
"We must realize that today what Poland is pumping, this money, this military equipment, all this great aid, including so-called humanitarian aid, is not covered by any specific, transparent anti-corruption mechanisms that would guarantee the purposefulness of spending this money. The question is how much of it is being defrauded. This is a huge problem today, because the Polish state is also incurring debt, unfortunately, for the benefit of Ukraine, to finance Ukraine, to pay interest on the loan taken by Ukraine from the European Union. "
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💬 Opinion Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 16.02.2026
! Misleading
"a lot of money, we know from various international investigations, but also investigations conducted by the NBU or by the SPS, the special anti-corruption prosecutor's office, is simply being embezzled. Embezzled. Suddenly it turns out that part of the humanitarian aid that was supposed to be directed to Ukraine is found in Africa and sold there. Suddenly it turns out that a large part of various funds has been stolen. It also turns out that there is significant arms smuggling from Ukraine and so on, and so forth. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 14.02.2026
True
"The United States during President Donald Trump's second term is simply making things clear. Europe is simply to take responsibility for conventional deterrence, for its own conventional defense. Europe is to take responsibility for conventional deterrence, for its own defense policy, to increase its defense spending, preferably to at least 5% of GDP and so on and so forth. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 13.02.2026
Fulfilled
"And now there are expectations that spending on armaments will increase, spending on defense policy will increase to 5% of GDP, and the United States expects this from its European allies. "
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🔮 Forecast Politics 2026
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 12.02.2026
True
"The deal includes an agreement that the countries will cooperate on a new transit corridor linking Azerbaijan to Nakhchivan in Armenia. The route will be named the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity (TRIPP) and the development rights to the project are guaranteed to the United States for 49 years. The United States has proposed taking over the planned transport corridor between Armenia and Azerbaijan in an effort to advance long-stalled diplomatic negotiations between the two Caucasus nations, the US ambassador to Turkey, Tom Barrack, told journalists during a briefing on Friday. This agreement gives the United States the right to develop the Zangezur corridor, renamed Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity, for 99 years, a move that could significantly impact the South Caucasus both strategically and economically. The agreement also entails US military participation in peacekeeping operations and a guarantee of security for Armenia. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 12.02.2026
True
"On February 9 and 10, 2026, US Vice President JD Vance visited Armenia, and then Azerbaijan. First, he signed an agreement on nuclear energy cooperation with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, which will pave the way for American capital to invest in this sector of the Armenian economy. And then he flew to Baku, where, together with President Ilham Aliyev, he signed a charter on US-Azerbaijani strategic partnership, and this partnership provides, among other things, for the creation of special working groups to develop specific, concrete joint projects in the broadly understood area of security. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 12.02.2026
Pending
"The operator of Trip is to be a specially established US-Armenian company in January of this year. And this is somehow a reconciliation of these two sides, Armenia and Azerbaijan. The agreement was concluded, mind you, for 99 years, and this whole project, let me remind you, was presented in Washington on August 8, 2025, on the occasion of the signing of this peace declaration, this famous Washington declaration, by Presidents Trump and Aliyev and Prime Minister Pashinyan. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 06.02.2026
Fulfilled
"We are dealing with an evident acceleration of the process of federalization of the European Union and the activation of political circles that would like the fastest possible departure of American troops from Europe and by Americans and the acceleration of the desovereignization of nation-states. That's how it looks. Yes, that's my assessment. "
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💬 Opinion Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 06.02.2026
Pending
"And one cannot rule out that the Americans will either limit or even withdraw their presence from Poland. The question is whether this is still such a pretext, whether this type of statement by the Speaker of the Sejm is a sufficient pretext, or whether there must be a greater exacerbation in transatlantic relations. "
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🌐 Scenario Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 27.01.2026
! Misleading
"We know about, we are familiar with the statement by Natalia Panczenko, who threatened mass arsons. This is happening, by the way. We see how many arsons there are in Poland, and we absolutely cannot abstract from this. Especially since the Ukrainian diaspora in Poland is very strong. It constitutes a natural breeding ground for the activities of Ukrainian military and civilian intelligence. And this absolutely cannot be underestimated. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 27.01.2026
? Unverifiable
"a very interesting example described here by the author of this article is January 2022, when the then head of the Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Dmytro Kuleba, publicly showed Antony Blinken, the then US Secretary of State, a map on which not only Russian Kuban or the lands along the Don, but also Polish cities such as Chełm, Przemyśl, or even a fragment of Podlasie, were historical parts of the Ukrainian state. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 27.01.2026
! Misleading
"Poland and Ukraine are not linked by any military pact. Ukraine is not in NATO. Ukraine does not have any bilateral, two-sided military agreement signed with Poland. Moreover, this intergovernmental agreement of December 2, 2016, simply has no force, no legal force. It has not entered into force, has not been ratified by parliament, so Polish state decision-makers simply should not invoke it. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 27.01.2026
! Misleading
"for a long time, since autumn 2023, we have seen that the Ukrainian side is escalating tension with Russia. First and foremost, I mean Volodymyr Zelenskyy's speech at the UN and accusations against Poland, which was a shock for a large part of decision-makers, media representatives, commentators who in 2022 or 23 were still calling for unconditional support for Ukraine. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics
Leszek Sykulski Leszek Sykulski 27.01.2026
Pending
"It has come to the point that already this year, the former Ambassador of Ukraine to Poland, Andrii Deshchytsia, and the current Vasyl Bodnar, on the air of Kanał Zero, began to question the crimes committed by Roman Shukhevych, disassociating themselves from calling him a criminal, trying to whitewash him, trying to relativize the crimes of the Ukrainian Insurgent Army and, in general, the crime against the Polish nation. "
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✅ Factual claim Politics

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