Skip to content
Verdiktum

Igor Janke on Armed conflicts — predictions scored

Igor Janke on Armed conflicts — predictions scored

187 tracked claims · Accuracy: 84%

Igor Janke Igor Janke 06.05.2026
· Unverified
"Kolejna sprawa to wywiad premiera Tuska dla Financial Times sprzed tygodnia czy dziesięciu dni, w którym powiedział, że w ciągu kilku miesięcy może zostać zaatakowany któryś z państw NATO. Myślę, że możemy być my, bo to dzieje się wokół nas. Nie wiem, czy to może się zdarzyć, czy nie. "
🌐 original
⚠️ Warning Armed Conflicts 2026
Igor Janke Igor Janke 06.05.2026
True
"On 13 April 2026, the United States imposed a naval blockade on Iran following the failure of the Islamabad Talks to end the 2026 Iran war. [...] On 14 June, Trump and Iran announced that they had reached an agreement to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Trump also said that he had authorized the lifting of the US naval blockade. The U.S. war with Iran showed the regime it can successfully shut down the Strait of Hormuz—giving it a new tool that it didn't have before the conflict, with nothing barring it from using it again, U.S. intelligence assessments reportedly found. Early on 3 January 2026, the United States launched a military operation to arrest President Nicolás Maduro and remove him from Venezuela. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 05.05.2026
True
"Poland ordered F35 in 2020. And they will be further delayed like ammunition and everything. So, ammunition production should absolutely be done here for every platform purchased. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 05.05.2026
Pending
"If war occurs, if there is even a threat that leads to the introduction of martial law, one should expect that cash withdrawal restrictions will be introduced. "
translated PL · original
⚠️ Warning Armed Conflicts 2050
Igor Janke Igor Janke 29.04.2026
True
"Ukraine may impose sanctions on Israel for buying grain stolen by Russia. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 28.04.2026
· Unverified
"W ostatnim czasie mieliśmy do czynienia z szeregiem ataków niezwykle skutecznych ukraińskich na takich z rakietami dalekiego zasięgu. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 28.04.2026
True
"Well, every day between 500 and 1000 Russian soldiers are killed or eliminated there. Such information appeared. These losses on the Russian side are much greater than on the Ukrainian side. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 28.04.2026
True
"Not long ago it was said that we are on the verge of another Russian offensive and that, well, a good few weeks ago we were saying that Russian troops were constantly advancing. Slowly, but advancing. They were capturing more villages, and even small towns, and it seemed that the situation looked decidedly unfavorable for Ukraine. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 23.04.2026
True
"The strategy includes three stages. The first of them foresees an increase in defense capabilities within the next four years. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 23.04.2026
True
"In the long term, by the end of 2039, Germany wants to create more innovative and technologically advanced armed forces. ... We are transforming the Bundeswehr into the strongest conventional army in Europe. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 23.04.2026
True
"Germany intends to build an army of almost half a million. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 23.04.2026
True
"Last year, approximately 184,000 people served in the German military. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"Armia Stanów Zjednoczonych wstrzyma się z atakami na Iran, ale nadal będzie blokowała cieśninę Ormus dla statków korzystających z irańskich portów oraz będzie cały czas gotowa do działania. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 19.04.2026
True
"Is that why Russians have problems with such operational effectiveness, operating drones on a wide scale? They use satellite internet, but not at the same level as the American one provided to the Ukrainian army. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 14.04.2026
True
"Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu supported America's actions in the Strait of Hormuz, and before the talks with Lebanon scheduled for April 14, 2026, he announced the continuation of attacks against that country. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 13.04.2026
Fulfilled
"Israel certainly lost, the United Arab Emirates lost, Kuwait lost, Iran gained. "
translated PL · original
💬 Opinion Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 10.04.2026
True
"and the surrender of that uranium, which is already those 400-something kilograms, which they supposedly have. If the Iranians are able to reach it, because we still don't know if part of this uranium isn't by chance transferred to one of the uranium enrichment facilities in Iran itself. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 10.04.2026
Fulfilled
"This war, regardless of how it actually ends, is already not a success today. It was evident that it lasted much longer than the Americans expected. "
translated PL · original
💬 Opinion Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 10.04.2026
True
"He is supposed to go, because he is not there yet. For now, the talks haven't started. We are talking on Friday noon. Still, still there are no talks. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 10.04.2026
True
"But today, but as of today, it hasn't happened yet, right? Meaning it doesn't look like Hezbollah has been defeated, "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 10.04.2026
Fulfilled
"Americans. Yes. Well, alright, but the Iranians also shot everywhere around and these missiles were not shot down and they hit bases where Americans were and they hit refineries, they hit water treatment plants. Well, they were also very effective. Anyway, nobody expected them to do such things. And again the question is, was everyone surprised, or were these really such great successes? "
translated PL · original
💬 Opinion Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 09.04.2026
True
"“Aggression towards Lebanon is aggression towards Iran,” Gen. Seyed Majid Mousavi, aerospace commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guard, wrote on X. He warned that Iranian forces were preparing a “heavy response” without revealing details. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.04.2026
True
"Well, yesterday, imagine, Israel bombed a synagogue in Tehran. There are 30 synagogues in Tehran, so one of them was bombed. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 08.04.2026
Pending
"What will this war change in the Middle East? What will the Middle East be like after April 8, 2026? "
translated PL · original
💬 Opinion Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 07.04.2026
True
"Well, right now Trump complains about everyone and insults everyone around, but the United States today, during this operation, also uses infrastructure located in Europe, in Great Britain, in Portugal, somewhere else. So it's still working. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 04.04.2026
True
"This is something the Trump administration has not ruled out from the very beginning, that this ground operation could happen. However, the forces the Americans have gathered in the region do not allow for a large-scale invasion. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
? Unverifiable
"Austria did not agree to the use of its airspace by America. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
! Misleading
"ISW assessed Russian forces seized 1,443.35 km² between November 2025 and April 2026 — against 2,368.38 km² over the same six months a year earlier, a year-on-year drop of about 925 km². "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
True
"Austria did not agree to the use of its airspace by the United States. The Austrian Ministry of Defense refused the US Air Force due to the country's constitutional neutrality. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
True
"Currently, the number of units passing through this route has decreased from 120 to about 20 per day. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
True
"The United States, in accordance with Trump's announcements, carried out a new strike aimed at Iran on Thursday. During these, a bridge in Karaj and national steel mills were destroyed. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
Pending
"Ukrainians, on the one hand, want market access, and on the other hand, they are afraid of an outflow of their engineers, an outflow of their specialists, so they create a whole lot of administrative barriers. This is one of the reasons why Polish-Ukrainian defense cooperation is not working as well as it could. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
? Unverifiable
"Representatives from 41 countries from around the world participated in a conversation organized by the United Kingdom. They expect to send a clear message to Iran via the United Nations to allow unimpeded navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
Pending
"The department led by Minister Klaudia Taner stated that applications in this matter have been rejected since the beginning of the US and Israel war with Iran. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
True
"In a populist, pub-style manner, SPÖ Vice-Chancellor Andreas Babler publicly stated to the media that, in view of the war between the USA and Israel with Iran, there would be/should be no flights of US military aircraft through Austrian airspace. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
True
"The internet connection took place a few days after a series of statements by US President Donald Trump. He called on other North Atlantic Alliance countries to adopt the initiative and send warships to enable civilian transport through one of the world's most important trade routes. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
True
"41 countries want to pressure Iran to unblock navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. Participants of the conference on this matter do not intend to send their armed forces to the Persian Gulf region. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
Pending
"British Foreign Secretary Yvet Cooper is ready to send the navy to the Persian Gulf, but only after a ceasefire agreement in the conflict between America and Israel and Iran. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 03.04.2026
True
"“It would take forever, and would expose all those who go through the Strait to risks from the [Iranian Islamic] Revolutionary Guards but also ballistic missiles.” "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts
Igor Janke Igor Janke 02.04.2026
Pending
"The President dedicated his address mainly to Iran, right? And he spoke about it. Well, in his characteristic language, he talked about the incredible successes that the United States has been achieving there for a month. Basically, Iran practically no longer exists. It's already, it's already over. All goals have almost been achieved. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Armed Conflicts