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Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

184 tracked claims · Accuracy: 86%

Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"For the first time in the documented history of modern science, humanity has deliberately and with full premeditation permanently modified the natural movement of celestial bodies relative to the central star of our entire system. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 13.02.2026
Pending
"We are entering the Vera Rubin Observatory, and it will be a true game changer, because we are launching a telescope with the largest digital camera in human history, 3.2 gigapixels. This monster will not look at a single point, but will scan the entire sky, constantly creating a time-lapse film of the universe's existence. The LSST program, or Legacy Survey of Space and Time, will generate 20 TB of data every night. Mike Brown said directly: "If someone gave him a suitcase full of money and told him to find Planet Nine, he would build something like the Vera Rubin telescope." This device is capable of detecting objects orders of magnitude dimmer than anything we have had so far. Scientists estimate that the number of known objects in the solar system will increase by as much as a hundredfold thanks to it. If Planet Nine is there, Vera Rubin will find it. If it's the Kuiper Belt disk, Vera Rubin will see its structure. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"Eksperyment Curiosity wykrył ponad 20 cząsteczek organicznych z piaskowców i lastych w liczącej około 3,5 miliarda lat sekcji Knock Farel Hill w Glenoridon. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"Humanity has for the first time in its history permanently changed the orbit of a celestial body orbiting the sun. We are not talking about a minor correction of an artificial satellite's flight, but about knocking a cosmic mountain off course. And so powerfully that it modified its trajectory relative to our parent star. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"Even before the collision, it was conservatively assumed that shortening Dimorphos's orbital period by just 73 seconds would be considered a spectacular technological triumph. Meanwhile, the latest meticulous and repeatedly verified, which is important, telescopic measurements showed something amazing. The precise impact of the artificial probe on the asteroid's surface reduced the orbit of this small moon not by a second, but by over 30 minutes. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"In the case of Didymos and Dimorphos analyzed by us, the micro-nudge by a small probe consequently led to a noticeable shortening of their more than two-year orbital period around the solar disk by 15 seconds, and the trajectory itself gravitationally reduced its radius by nearly 360 m. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"The physical radius of this closed orbit noticeably decreased by tens of meters. And this directly means that as humanity, we deliberately and effectively pushed Dimorphos onto a much tighter, shorter, and faster path orbiting Didymos. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"The impact, which in perfect combination with a massive jet ejection of rocky debris, not only reshuffled the internal dynamics in this binary system but literally slowed down the movement of this entire system. We are talking about a research-proven slowdown of merely less than 12 micrometers per second of flight, which translates to a deviation of less than 5 cm per hour of flight through the abyss of space. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 12.03.2026
True
"However, the amount detected in 3I Atlas seems unusually high compared to rates observed in solar system comets. And again, this fingerprint, discovered for the third time in July '25 by the Last Alert System, is only the third known object whose presence in space has been confirmed in the solar system. The first was Oumuamua in 2017. Then in 2019 Borisov, which had a more traditional comet-like appearance. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 12.03.2026
True
"However, even as the comet moves away from Earth at a speed of approximately 209,000 km/h, astronomers are still gaining new information from which Atlas in a recently published NASA research note describes a recent surprising turn of events from the comet's surface. A huge increase in brightness was recorded there. The observation took place approximately two months after the comet reached its closest distance to the sun. And this allowed scientists to better catalog various organic molecules of the comet, including cyanide, methane, and methanol. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
Fulfilled
"According to the new plan, the Artemis III mission (launch scheduled for mid-2027, but with a high probability of being postponed) will be transformed into a complex test of orbital maneuvers in low Earth orbit (LEO). Instead of landing near the Moon's south pole, the Orion spacecraft crew will focus on rendezvous and docking operations with landers provided by SpaceX and Blue Origin. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
! Misleading
"We have two lunar landers, right? Blue Origin and SpaceX. And we have NASA that wants to cooperate with these companies. We have Orion, which is supposed to connect directly with both of these spacecraft. Because the Gateway station has again been removed from the equation, so it won't be orbiting the Moon. Previously, the concept was that Orion flies to the Gateway station. In the Gateway station, docking occurs, and one transfers in this station to the lander, which is also docked there, and they land on the lunar surface, then the other way around. And all of this sounds beautiful and works beautifully. But note that such a station can have several docking nodes, right? And they can be different. So, for example, SpaceX could easily dock with its Starship, but Blue Origin could also easily dock with its lander to another port that would have a different docking system. But why, if it's supposed to be one ecosystem, not make one universal docking port, like it's done on the International Space Station, right? And in fact, only now after a change of administration, Jared Isaacman, with his people who help him in all this, has paid attention to this and will... "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
Fulfilled
"Artemis 2 still hasn't launched, and now most likely due to helium leak problems in the rocket's second stage, this launch will be delayed until April. Let's hope it happens then. But the Moon landing itself will also be delayed until 2028. And now I'm saying here that perhaps even later. It won't be good if it happens this decade. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2028
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
! Misleading
"NASA's new plan assumes the launch of Artemis 3 in 2027, but keeps us in low Earth orbit. The mission will aim to demonstrate a range of technologies and capabilities, including rendezvous and docking procedures of the Orion crew capsule with one or both commercial landers. Officials informed. The company Blue Moon, founded by Jeff Bezos, is developing a crewed lander named Blue Moon. Blue Origin, I apologize, named Blue Moon. And this vehicle was supposed to first carry astronauts to lunar orbit as part of the Artemis 5 mission, which was planned for 2030. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.02.2026
Pending
"The amount of information that, as of today, SKA will generate as input to the internet, is estimated to be about 10 times greater than all other information circulating on the internet. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 04.02.2026
True
"General relativity imposes a speed limit on objects moving through spacetime. Nothing with mass can reach the speed of light. This is an absolute, uncancelable prohibition. The energy required to accelerate a massive object to the speed of light is infinite. Period. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 02.02.2026
True
"Based on this, very, very precise studies of the periods of over 60 millisecond pulsars have been conducted for many years. And this network is called PTA. It's PTA not like Polish Astronomical Society, but like Pulsar Timing Array is a network. And what is very important, recently the first works appeared showing that this network, this network provided evidence for the existence of such a gravitational background, that there are such waves that spread everywhere, very long waves, which cause the frequencies of impulses from pulsars reaching us to be minimally distorted and they are directionally correlated, right? "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 02.02.2026
True
"In 2003, nature gave us an even better natural observational instrument, namely not just one pulsar orbiting a center of mass with a neutron star, which is something invisible, but it gave us something immeasurably more accurate, which is two clocks orbiting, that is, a double pulsar this time J0737-3039. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 28.01.2026
True
"We see stars orbiting invisible points at immense speeds, such as the S-stars in the center of our galaxy. We see accretion disks, gas heated to millions of degrees, falling onto something that does not reflect light. We detect gravitational waves that perfectly match models of colliding black holes predicted by Einstein. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 23.01.2026
True
"Meanwhile, on the surface in Jezero Crater, the Perseverance rover was waiting. And Perseverance pointed its cameras at the sky and took a long exposure. And in the photos, Atlas looks like a faint smudge drifting among the stars. It may not be the most beautiful photo in the history of astronomy, let's not kid ourselves, but its scientific and historical significance is gigantic here. This is the first portrait of a visitor from outside the solar system, taken by a robot standing on another globe. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.01.2026
? Unverifiable
"A total of 121.6 g of material was collected. This is more than twice the amount planned. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.01.2026
True
"Apophis is that famous asteroid that will fly extremely close to Earth in 2029, closer than geostationary satellites. A probe will study how Earth's gravity will affect this asteroid during such a close flyby. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.01.2026
True
"On 24 September 2023, at 4:42 a.m. MDT, at a distance of 63,000 miles (101,000 kilometers) from Earth, it ejected the sample return capsule, which re-entered the atmosphere at 27,650 miles per hour (44,500 km/h). "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.01.2026
True
"The biggest advantage of thorium reactors is efficiency. In a traditional uranium reactor, we burn only a small fraction of the fuel. The rest is essentially waste. In the thorium cycle, we can burn almost all the fuel, which means we extract significantly more energy from the same amount of material. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.01.2026
True
"Chinese scientists announced a success we've been waiting for since the 1960s. In a reactor in the Gobi Desert, they not only managed to start a chain reaction but did so in a system using molten salts and thorium. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.01.2026
True
"In a reactor, this process is called fuel breeding. We need to take a thorium atom and hit it with a neutron. Then thorium 232 turns into thorium 233. And this isotope is unstable and quickly decays to protactinium 233, and this in turn after another decay becomes uranium 233. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.01.2026
True
"The Chinese have successfully completed a full energy cycle, from thorium, through the breeding process, to obtaining energy from generated uranium 233. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.01.2026
· Unverified
"Autor proponuje on, aby wiązkę lasera w detektorze wprowadzić w stan kwantowy. (...) Jeśli teraz taki kwantowy laser napotka falę grawitacyjną, to powinno dojść do splątania. To znaczy, że stan fotonów i stan grawitonów stanie się nierozerwalnie połączony. I teraz uwaga, jest to kluczowy argument. Takie splątanie może powstać tylko wtedy, jeśli fala grawitacyjna sama w sobie ma własności kwantowe. "
🌐 original
🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.01.2026
· Unverified
"Obecnie fizycy potrafią wytworzyć stany takie, ale dla około pięciu fotonów. jednocześnie pięciu, żeby eksperyment proponowany w artykule miał w ogóle szansę powodzenia i dał mierzalny wynik przy falach grawitacyjnych, jakie znamy, to potrzebowalibyśmy stanu kwantowego złożonego z rzędu 10 do potęgi 30 fotonów, a to jest umówmy się trochę więcej niż pięć, bo jedynka i 30 zer, czyli pięć kontra kwintyliony kwintylionów. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.01.2026
Pending
"One of the most sought-after particles in modern physics is the graviton. The quantum of gravity. Why is searching for it so important? Because if we managed to measure it, we would have irrefutable proof that Einstein's general theory of relativity, the foundation of our understanding of the cosmos, is ultimately wrong, actually incomplete, and must give way to a theory that gives spacetime quantum properties. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"Blue Origin potwierdziło, że górny stopień New Glen chybił celu i wypuścił ładunek satelitę łączności komórkowej dla AS Space Mobile na nieprecyzyjną orbitę. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"W niedzielę AST poinformowało, że orbita satelity jest zbyt niska, żeby utrzymać działanie. Statek kosmiczny zostanie zdeorbitowany, a ST poinformowało, że spodziewa się odzyskać nieujawniony koszt satelity w ramach polisy ubezpieczeniowej. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"Trzeci lot rakiety nośnej New Glen firmy Blue Origin rozpoczął się w niedzielę pierwszym udanym ponownym lotem rakiety nośnej klasy orbitalnej, ale zakończył się niepowodzeniem rakiety Jeffa Bezasa, kluczowego elementu programu księżycowego Artemis NASA. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"Rakieta nośna New Glen o wysokości 98 m odpaliła y siedem napędzanych metanem silników BE4 o godzinie 7:25 czasu wschodniego. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"Instrument sam łazika Curiosity był w stanie wykorzystać substancję chemiczną znaną jako wodorotlenek tetrametyamoniowy TM do wykrycia cząsteczek organicznych w bogatym w glinę piaskowcu tego regionu. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"Łazik Curiosity sumiennie badał marsjański krater Gale i górę Szharp od momentu lądowania na czerwonej planecie 6 sierpnia 2012 roku. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"Pierwszy stopień rakiety New Glen kontynuował lot paralaboliczny na krótko wzbijając się w przestrzeń kosmiczną, po czym skierował się w stronę platformy Blue Origin na Oceanie Atlantyckim. Prawie 640 km na południowy skot od przyrądka Canaveral. Ponownie uruchamiając silniki na dwa hamowania, rakieta nośna osiadła na pokładzie statku, lądując w atmosferze dymu, ale celnie niecałe 10 minut po starcie. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"Łazik Curiosity odkrył moi drodzy substancje organiczne. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"Łazik Curiosity odkrył na Marsie zróżnicowaną mieszankę cząsteczek organicznych, w tym substancje chemiczne uważane za podstawowe składniki życia na Ziemi. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 22.04.2026
· Unverified
"Misja Mars Sample Return to miała być misja, która miała zabrać próbki zebrane właśnie przez łazik Perseverance, bo tam jest ciekawostka taka, że łazik Perseverance jak zbiera próbki, to zbiera zazwyczaj dwie próbki tego samego, z tego samego miejsca i jedną taką próbkę wrzuca sobie do środka, do tego właśnie swojego urządzenia, do analizy, a druga zostaje tam zabezpieczona w specjalnym pojemniku i miała właśnie oczekiwać na misję Mars Sampy. return, czyli automatyczny pojazd, który wyląduje, zbierze te próbki, potem jego jakiś tam ascending modu, że tak powiem, wzniesie się, połączy z pojazdem kosmicznym na orbicie, no i wróci na ziemię z tymi próbkami. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology

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