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Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

609 tracked claims · Accuracy: 87%

Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.01.2026
True
"The reactor, called TMSR-LF1, is the first to combine two long-sought advances: molten salt cooling and a working thorium fuel cycle. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.01.2026
True
"Thorium-232, which occurs naturally, is not fissile. It cannot be simply ignited. It is a fertile material. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.01.2026
True
"After burning, we are left with waste that will be radioactive for tens of thousands of years. And here comes thorium, an element named after the Norse god of thunder. There is three, or even four times more of it in the Earth's crust than uranium. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.01.2026
True
"Natural uranium contains 0.7% of the U-235 isotope. The remaining 99.3% is mostly the U-238 isotope which does not contribute directly to the fission process. Uranium enrichment is strategically sensitive and capital intensive, creating significant barriers to entry for any new supplier. From a non-proliferation standpoint, uranium enrichment is a sensitive technology needing to be subject to tight international control. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.01.2026
· Unverified
"Samo zaobserwowanie zmiany energii nie jest dowodem na istnienie grawitonów. Dlaczego? Ponieważ ten sam efekt zmiany energii można wyjaśnić całkowicie klasycznie, bez odwoływania się do mechaniki kwantowej. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.01.2026
Pending
"Okay, we measure mirror displacements, but if a gravitational wave consists of gravitons, then another phenomenon must occur. It's about energy exchange. Laser photons should exchange energy with gravitons in the gravitational wave. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.01.2026
True
"If spacetime is calm, the beams return perfectly aligned, but when a gravitational wave passes through the Earth, one tunnel slightly lengthens and the other shortens. Literally by a fraction of a proton's diameter, but this causes the light to return in a different phase. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 06.01.2026
True
"A moon mission is planned for early February "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.01.2026
! Misleading
"the most powerful acid we currently have, that is my dear acid. I wrote it down here because it's a difficult name. Fluorine, kvass acid. Very difficult name. Kvass acid, my dears, does not burn through everything and I don't know how it can be so available and sold in stores on shelves. No, kvass acid, so the super acid is fluoroantimonic acid, my dear. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.01.2026
! Misleading
"the only only substance known currently that is resistant to this and you can hold, you just asked what kind of acid, is Teflon, so the option is Teflon. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
True
"The total number of space debris is probably greater than current numbers suggest. That's for sure, because they also collide with each other somewhere. The smaller ones, which we don't track, are also there, and they are sufficiently charged, so to speak, with kinetic energy to be able to cause some damage. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
! Misleading
"lack of coronal holes from what I see on the sun's surface and close asteroid flybys. Today we have 16 16 three Earth-Moon distances "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
True
"Most abandoned objects orbiting Earth follow a decaying orbit due to the planet's gravity. That's what I was talking about. The orbit simply degrades, they slow down, causing them to fall and enter the atmosphere. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
True
"above 10 cm, everyone is tracked and monitored by this system here. And this is very important, because if we didn't have such a network of tracked objects of this type, we wouldn't have data on the basis of which appropriate orbits could be set. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
True
"at an altitude of several hundred kilometers there are still some individual atmospheric particles which somehow decelerate such a satellite. And of course, if its surface is small, it will do it longer. If the surface is large, it doesn't have to be very hard, just such a sail, then this deceleration will simply work more effectively. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
! Misleading
"still having an enormous surface area, however, because take a globe and now move away from it, see how the surface area of this sphere that is forming for us grows. The higher we are, in reality, there would still truly be a lot of free space around the satellites we currently have to carry out space missions, including cleaning ones. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
! Misleading
"for now, we have too little material launched into space to globally 'put to sleep' the entire Earth's orbit in such a way that nothing could launch. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
! Misleading
"nearly 2400 rockets launched into space, meaning their second stages, which most often remain in space as space debris. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
True
"most of them will eventually burn up in Earth's atmosphere anyway. But some, for example, are in such stable orbits that it may take 5000 years, and as you yourselves admit, that is not the time we can devote here to the self-resolution of a problem that is, moreover, growing. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
Pending
"at this moment, changing orbits is the only line of defense we really have against cosmic collisions, and against the Kessler syndrome, which would cause a disintegrating satellite to create a lot of debris, which could also hit other satellites. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
Pending
"Numerous strategies are being contemplated that would help to decrease the frequency and severity of catastrophic collisions, which will be categorized in this paper as: hardening of spacecraft against debris, fragmentation prevention, collision avoidance, population management, active debris removal, and a launch moratorium. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
True
"above 10 cm everyone is tracked by this system. And it's very important, because if we didn't have such a network of tracked objects of this type, we wouldn't have data on the basis of which appropriate orbits could be set. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
True
"Starlinks theoretically have these ion thrusters precisely for two reasons: firstly, to be able to change orbits when there is a threat in orbit, for example, a collision with another satellite. And secondly, it is possible to deorbit a Starlink that is already failing. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
True
"in space it's hard to dissipate heat, isn't it? Here we have, for example, convection, because air takes heat away, for example, or delivers it if it's warmer from my hand, or conduction, if I touch a solid material. However, in space, we only deal with the radiation of this heat, so it wouldn't happen that quickly. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
True
"Starlinks theoretically have these ion thrusters precisely for two reasons: firstly, to be able to change orbits when there is some threat in orbit, for example, a collision with another satellite. And secondly, it is possible to deorbit a Starlink that is already failing. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 16.06.2026
! Misleading
"The solar wind is blowing today at a speed of 431.2 km/und and carries less than three protons per cm sny, so hats can stay on. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
Fulfilled
"The telescope named after the discoverer of this phenomenon is tasked with precisely mapping this invisible interaction, but on the scale of the entire visible universe, of course. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2041
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.06.2026
Pending
"it was possible to create an orbit stable enough to remain stable for the next 4000, 5000 years. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2041
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.06.2026
True
"The American space agency wants to simplify the management model of the Space Reactor One mission, which is the Freedom mentioned by me, in order to make it in time for its launch towards Mars planned for December '28. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.06.2026
· Unverified
"Lunar Reactor E1 ma zasilać przyszłą bazę księżycową, zwłaszcza w okresach nocy i ograniczonego dostępu do światła słonecznego. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.06.2026
~ Partially
"Lunar Reactor E1 is to power a future lunar base, especially during periods of night and limited sunlight. "
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🔮 Forecast Technology 2028
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.06.2026
Pending
"missing the Martian launch window, which falls in 2028/2029, would mean that it would have to be postponed by another 26 months and only in '31 could this entire spacecraft fly. "
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🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.06.2026
True
"must accelerate production to make it in time for the launch window that we will have, my friends, in 2020, at the turn of 2028 and 2029, because that is December 2028 to probably January 2029. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.06.2026
True
"NASA's Freedom One mission, which is a mission where a nuclear-powered engine will be used for the first time in a useful way, as I'll call it. However, it is not the first nuclear reactor that flew into space, as it turns out, and we'll talk about that for a moment today. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.06.2026
True
"must accelerate production to make it in the launch window that we will have, my friends, in 2020, at the turn of 2028 and 2029, because that is December 2028 to probably January 2029. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.06.2026
True
"NASA has so far sent only one nuclear reactor into space. This also results from certain treaties that have been signed on the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons in orbit. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 08.06.2026
True
"a much more dynamic image of the atmosphere. Yes. Voyager 2 noted that. What's more, from the measurements that were made based on photos during the flyby, it was concluded that this atmosphere, in relation to Jupiter, Saturn, and Uranus, is the most dynamic. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 08.06.2026
True
"Voyager 1 discovered seven moons, two at Jupiter and five at Saturn. Voyager 2 additionally discovered one moon at Jupiter. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 08.06.2026
True
"Voyager 2 discovered 10 moons new moons around Uranus around around Neptune wait I'll check six new moons and to be, as they say, computationally correct, two new rings were also discovered on Uranus somewhere around Uranus, yes they were discovered. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 08.06.2026
True
"Voyagers were equipped with significantly better quality detectors and instrumentation than the Pioneer 10 and Pioneer 11 probes, those that reached Jupiter and Saturn. And the quality of these images, the quality of the recorded information here increased in an absolutely, well, such a dramatic word, to say as much better or better. "
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✅ Factual claim Technology

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