Skip to content
Verdiktum

Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

Piotr Kosek on Technology — predictions scored

290 tracked claims · Accuracy: 87%

Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"For the first time in the documented history of modern science, humanity has deliberately and with full premeditation permanently modified the natural movement of celestial bodies relative to the central star of our entire system. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 13.02.2026
Pending
"We are entering the Vera Rubin Observatory, and it will be a true game changer, because we are launching a telescope with the largest digital camera in human history, 3.2 gigapixels. This monster will not look at a single point, but will scan the entire sky, constantly creating a time-lapse film of the universe's existence. The LSST program, or Legacy Survey of Space and Time, will generate 20 TB of data every night. Mike Brown said directly: "If someone gave him a suitcase full of money and told him to find Planet Nine, he would build something like the Vera Rubin telescope." This device is capable of detecting objects orders of magnitude dimmer than anything we have had so far. Scientists estimate that the number of known objects in the solar system will increase by as much as a hundredfold thanks to it. If Planet Nine is there, Vera Rubin will find it. If it's the Kuiper Belt disk, Vera Rubin will see its structure. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 10.06.2026
Pending
"In Rubin's first year alone, scientists expect the observatory to find 1 million undiscovered asteroids — as many as have been documented in the previous 200 years of human history — as well as thousands of comets and billions of stars and galaxies. “We've never had this kind of explosion of discovery within astronomy,” said Sarah Greenstreet, an astronomer at the National Optical-Infrared Astronomy Research Laboratory. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.06.2026
· Unverified
"Badacze stworzyli próbkę stopu żelaza z precyzyjnie dobraną ilością węgla. Następnie, żeby wygenerować te monstrualne fale uderzeniowe, olbrzymie ciśnienie i temperaturę, które mogą odblokować ten stan superionowy, uderzyli w próbkę specjalnym pociskiem, który poruszał się z zawrotną prędkością. I to kontrolowane zderzenie pozwoliło na ułamek sekundy powołać do życia materię o właściwościach identycznych stron, która spoczywać miałaby tysiące kilometrów pod naszymi stopami. "
🌐 original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
True
"And now the team has discovered that free gravitational propulsion is more common when choosing this hidden route, and the newly reported route uses 58.8 m/s less delta V than the previous cheapest known route. And with such, so to speak, uh, delta V, you can do quite interesting things. In fact, you can change the direction of such an orbit around the Moon multiple times, if it's something that is later supposed to fly around the Moon, it's a probe, right? We can reduce the mass of such an instrument, uh, such a probe or such, I don't know, a lander, and simply push in more, uh, kilograms, because we can easily convert that to kilograms, uh, of some scientific equipment, let's say, or supplies. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
True
"The Moon is moving away from Earth. It used to be much closer. In the past, almost every transit of the Moon across the solar disk was a total eclipse. Today we have annular eclipses because the Moon has moved away from Earth. It moves away from our planet by an average of 3 cm each year, so total eclipses will eventually disappear. There will be no total eclipses at all. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
Fulfilled
"Psyche mission. Upon arrival in August 2029, it will enter orbit around the asteroid Psyche, which is likely a partial core of a planetesimal, a building block of an early planet, through a series of circular orbits that will gradually lower and rise around Psyche. In essence, it means it will go once higher, once lower, and will gradually descend. The asteroid, which is about 280 km wide at its widest point, will be mapped and scientific data collected. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Technology 2029
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
Pending
"The Psyche probe completed a close approach to Mars, coming within approximately 4609 km of its surface, and during the flyby, gravity assist was used to increase speed and correct the orbital plane without using fuel. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.05.2026
True
"This view of Mars' crescent was captured on May 15, 2026, around 5:03 PDT by the Psyche probe while approaching the planet for a gravity assist. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 13.05.2026
Pending
"The Falcon 9 rocket launched in January 2025. It fulfilled its mission, but now gravity has finally taken its toll. On August 5, 2026, at 9:44 our time, this second stage journey will come to a violent end. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 13.05.2026
True
"Astronomer Bill Grey, creator of the Project Pluto software, which is used to track near-Earth objects, conducted extremely precise simulations. Based on over 1000 observations, he calculated that the Falcon 9 second stage will hit the Moon's surface at a speed of 2.43 km/s, which is over 8700 km/h. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.05.2026
Pending
"Japan is preparing a groundbreaking Start mission in 2026. Also a very interesting thing, my dear friends, because the goal will be to collect samples from Mars' moon Phobos and deliver them to Earth. Visualization of the Martian Moons Exploration MMX mission. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 07.05.2026
Pending
"The MMX probe will reach Mars in 2027 and begin detailed studies of its two moons, Phobos and Deimos. Landing on Phobos is planned for 2029. Scientists want to collect about 10g of material from it and transport it to Earth. The return of samples to our planet will then be in 2031. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Technology 2031
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 05.05.2026
True
"Mark One will carry two NASA science and technology payloads this year as part of the CLPS, or Commercial Lunar Payload Services, initiative. [...] it will be sent to the Moon's south pole region. Stereoscopic cameras for lunar surface studies, a series of high-resolution cameras that will record interactions between the lander engine plume, the lunar surface during descent and landing, and a laser retroreflector array that helps orbiting spacecraft determine location more precisely using reflected laser light. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.05.2026
! Misleading
"It was there in June 2025 that the new Vera Rubin Observatory began operations. It is a technological monster. Every night it will take hundreds of pictures of the sky, generating 20 TB of data. Over a decade it will collect 60 petabytes of data, which is 60 million GB of information about how stars and galaxies move. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 30.04.2026
True
"What was observed in Brookhaven is a process in which a virtual quark-antiquark pair hidden inside a string transforms into a real quark-antiquark pair under the influence of injected energy. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 30.04.2026
True
"This correlation is the ultimate proof that virtual particles were actually there, existed in that energetic string, and then, under the influence of the collision, one could say they advanced to the level of real particles that we can register in detectors. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 30.04.2026
True
"We have strong evidence that virtual particles are not just a mathematical abstraction, but something real, foundations of reality, which we can even force to reveal themselves in our laboratories. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"Even before the collision, it was conservatively assumed that shortening Dimorphos's orbital period by just 73 seconds would be considered a spectacular technological triumph. Meanwhile, the latest meticulous and repeatedly verified, which is important, telescopic measurements showed something amazing. The precise impact of the artificial probe on the asteroid's surface reduced the orbit of this small moon not by a second, but by over 30 minutes. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"In the case of Didymos and Dimorphos analyzed by us, the micro-nudge by a small probe consequently led to a noticeable shortening of their more than two-year orbital period around the solar disk by 15 seconds, and the trajectory itself gravitationally reduced its radius by nearly 360 m. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"The physical radius of this closed orbit noticeably decreased by tens of meters. And this directly means that as humanity, we deliberately and effectively pushed Dimorphos onto a much tighter, shorter, and faster path orbiting Didymos. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"Humanity has for the first time in its history permanently changed the orbit of a celestial body orbiting the sun. We are not talking about a minor correction of an artificial satellite's flight, but about knocking a cosmic mountain off course. And so powerfully that it modified its trajectory relative to our parent star. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 15.03.2026
True
"The impact, which in perfect combination with a massive jet ejection of rocky debris, not only reshuffled the internal dynamics in this binary system but literally slowed down the movement of this entire system. We are talking about a research-proven slowdown of merely less than 12 micrometers per second of flight, which translates to a deviation of less than 5 cm per hour of flight through the abyss of space. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 12.03.2026
True
"However, even as the comet moves away from Earth at a speed of approximately 209,000 km/h, astronomers are still gaining new information from which Atlas in a recently published NASA research note describes a recent surprising turn of events from the comet's surface. A huge increase in brightness was recorded there. The observation took place approximately two months after the comet reached its closest distance to the sun. And this allowed scientists to better catalog various organic molecules of the comet, including cyanide, methane, and methanol. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 12.03.2026
True
"However, the amount detected in 3I Atlas seems unusually high compared to rates observed in solar system comets. And again, this fingerprint, discovered for the third time in July '25 by the Last Alert System, is only the third known object whose presence in space has been confirmed in the solar system. The first was Oumuamua in 2017. Then in 2019 Borisov, which had a more traditional comet-like appearance. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
Fulfilled
"According to the new plan, the Artemis III mission (launch scheduled for mid-2027, but with a high probability of being postponed) will be transformed into a complex test of orbital maneuvers in low Earth orbit (LEO). Instead of landing near the Moon's south pole, the Orion spacecraft crew will focus on rendezvous and docking operations with landers provided by SpaceX and Blue Origin. "
translated PL · original
🌐 Scenario Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
Fulfilled
"Artemis 2 still hasn't launched, and now most likely due to helium leak problems in the rocket's second stage, this launch will be delayed until April. Let's hope it happens then. But the Moon landing itself will also be delayed until 2028. And now I'm saying here that perhaps even later. It won't be good if it happens this decade. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Technology 2028
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
! Misleading
"NASA's new plan assumes the launch of Artemis 3 in 2027, but keeps us in low Earth orbit. The mission will aim to demonstrate a range of technologies and capabilities, including rendezvous and docking procedures of the Orion crew capsule with one or both commercial landers. Officials informed. The company Blue Moon, founded by Jeff Bezos, is developing a crewed lander named Blue Moon. Blue Origin, I apologize, named Blue Moon. And this vehicle was supposed to first carry astronauts to lunar orbit as part of the Artemis 5 mission, which was planned for 2030. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 03.03.2026
! Misleading
"We have two lunar landers, right? Blue Origin and SpaceX. And we have NASA that wants to cooperate with these companies. We have Orion, which is supposed to connect directly with both of these spacecraft. Because the Gateway station has again been removed from the equation, so it won't be orbiting the Moon. Previously, the concept was that Orion flies to the Gateway station. In the Gateway station, docking occurs, and one transfers in this station to the lander, which is also docked there, and they land on the lunar surface, then the other way around. And all of this sounds beautiful and works beautifully. But note that such a station can have several docking nodes, right? And they can be different. So, for example, SpaceX could easily dock with its Starship, but Blue Origin could also easily dock with its lander to another port that would have a different docking system. But why, if it's supposed to be one ecosystem, not make one universal docking port, like it's done on the International Space Station, right? And in fact, only now after a change of administration, Jared Isaacman, with his people who help him in all this, has paid attention to this and will... "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.02.2026
Pending
"The amount of information that, as of today, SKA will generate as input to the internet, is estimated to be about 10 times greater than all other information circulating on the internet. "
translated PL · original
🔮 Forecast Technology 2026
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 04.02.2026
True
"General relativity imposes a speed limit on objects moving through spacetime. Nothing with mass can reach the speed of light. This is an absolute, uncancelable prohibition. The energy required to accelerate a massive object to the speed of light is infinite. Period. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 02.02.2026
True
"In 2003, nature gave us an even better natural observational instrument, namely not just one pulsar orbiting a center of mass with a neutron star, which is something invisible, but it gave us something immeasurably more accurate, which is two clocks orbiting, that is, a double pulsar this time J0737-3039. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 02.02.2026
True
"Based on this, very, very precise studies of the periods of over 60 millisecond pulsars have been conducted for many years. And this network is called PTA. It's PTA not like Polish Astronomical Society, but like Pulsar Timing Array is a network. And what is very important, recently the first works appeared showing that this network, this network provided evidence for the existence of such a gravitational background, that there are such waves that spread everywhere, very long waves, which cause the frequencies of impulses from pulsars reaching us to be minimally distorted and they are directionally correlated, right? "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 28.01.2026
True
"We see stars orbiting invisible points at immense speeds, such as the S-stars in the center of our galaxy. We see accretion disks, gas heated to millions of degrees, falling onto something that does not reflect light. We detect gravitational waves that perfectly match models of colliding black holes predicted by Einstein. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 23.01.2026
True
"Meanwhile, on the surface in Jezero Crater, the Perseverance rover was waiting. And Perseverance pointed its cameras at the sky and took a long exposure. And in the photos, Atlas looks like a faint smudge drifting among the stars. It may not be the most beautiful photo in the history of astronomy, let's not kid ourselves, but its scientific and historical significance is gigantic here. This is the first portrait of a visitor from outside the solar system, taken by a robot standing on another globe. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.01.2026
True
"On 24 September 2023, at 4:42 a.m. MDT, at a distance of 63,000 miles (101,000 kilometers) from Earth, it ejected the sample return capsule, which re-entered the atmosphere at 27,650 miles per hour (44,500 km/h). "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.01.2026
True
"Apophis is that famous asteroid that will fly extremely close to Earth in 2029, closer than geostationary satellites. A probe will study how Earth's gravity will affect this asteroid during such a close flyby. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 21.01.2026
? Unverifiable
"A total of 121.6 g of material was collected. This is more than twice the amount planned. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.01.2026
True
"The Chinese have successfully completed a full energy cycle, from thorium, through the breeding process, to obtaining energy from generated uranium 233. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology
Piotr Kosek Piotr Kosek 09.01.2026
True
"Chinese scientists announced a success we've been waiting for since the 1960s. In a reactor in the Gobi Desert, they not only managed to start a chain reaction but did so in a system using molten salts and thorium. "
translated PL · original
✅ Factual claim Technology

Explore other topics